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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 0% | −55 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 0% | −11 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | umtc4m | 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,287 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | AndrianoLamo | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,872 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Sappro | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,638 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Timely-Expansionism | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,230 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Insidious-Pulley | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,934 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Corny-Departure | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,125 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | V1I7 | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,958 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | KaelNevermore | 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,342 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | onekey09 | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $44,498 | +$58 +0.1% | 2 |
| 185d | edseah | 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,237 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 185d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F3 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $9,410 | +$6,501 +69% | 5 |
| 185d | edward0208 | 76,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$22 −2.0% | — |
| 185d | Beck00 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,016 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 185d |  FXC | 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,277 | +$94 +1.0% | 2 |
| 185d |  jakebet2 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,180 | +$289 +6.9% | 3 |
| 185d | Sappro | 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,552 | +$82 +5.3% | 2 |
| 185d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,546 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | KaelNevermore | 76,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,180 | +$152 +13% | 3 |
| 185d | anon.1980.123 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,001 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | anon.1980.123 | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,265 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | anon.1980.123 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Navigator772 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,899 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 185d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,663 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 185d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F5 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $12,152 | −$12,152 −100% | 6 |
| 185d |  VasiliSko3 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $41,621 | +$68 +0.2% | 2 |
| 185d | PmDerek | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,624 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 185d | onekey09 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,579 | +$37 +0.1% | 2 |
| 185d | hersoan2025 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,079 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 185d | littlejie | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,372 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 185d | mandagogo2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,324 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 185d | PmDerek | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,432 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 185d | AZwater | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,995 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 185d | mandagogo2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,781 | −$29 −1.1% | — |
| 185d |  noreasapa | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,228 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Navigator772 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,871 | +$33 +0.7% | 2 |
| 185d | Funboyboy2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,498 | +$46 +0.3% | 2 |
| 185d | V1I7 | 76,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $1,169 | +$735 +63% | 5 |
| 185d | akrish07 | 76,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,486 | −$2,486 −100% | 5 |
| 185d |  CryptoLiu | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,881 | −$32 −0.3% | — |
| 185d | foux2 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,540 | +$46 +1.0% | 2 |
| 185d | jakebet | 76,000 | BuyYes82¢ → 0¢ | $5,601 | −$5,601 −100% | 3 |
| 185d | liangzi1990 | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 185d | V1I7 | 76,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 0¢ | $1,167 | −$1,167 −100% | 4 |
| 185d | ylnopU2 fills | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,838 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 185d | 777111222 | 76,000 | BuyNo33¢ → 100¢ | $1,329 | +$2,698 +203% | 5 |
| 185d |  therealonestepahead | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 185d | Funboyboy | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,853 | +$57 +0.3% | 2 |
| 185d | ola2 fills | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $69,549 | −$70 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | Beck00 | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,014 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | ceamaii12 fills | 76,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $3,127 | +$4,536 +145% | 6 |
| 185d | ylnopU2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,911 | +$55 +1.4% | 2 |
| 185d | Navigator77 | 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,429 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 185d | mygigi | 76,000 | BuyNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,307 | +$1,113 +85% | 5 |
| 185d | eqwtsdS | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | +$18 +1.7% | 2 |
| 185d | HGDSdftr | 74,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$18 +1.7% | 2 |
| 185d | oompaloompaa | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,504 | +$19 +1.3% | 2 |
| 185d |  olegs | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | +$42 +1.5% | 2 |
| 185d | Oleksi1 | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,061 | +$16 +1.5% | 2 |
| 185d | Mizukaze | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,182 | +$246 +1.5% | 2 |
| 185d | KaelNevermore | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$53 +1.5% | 2 |
maxinvest10,209 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 72,000 means the market gives it about 100%.