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Polymarket wallet 0x45b39e1f71e47fd4afe4b988ffad690b644735bc · on Polymarket since Oct 14, 2025 · also shown as Lost-Macadamia
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 203,897 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $194,212 | +$32,070 +20% |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027?Ends in 70d | No | 76,588 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $74,559 | +$3,332 +4.7% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 18,000 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17,565 −100% |
| Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 165 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$162 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.