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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 100% | +10 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56d | Clawbangers | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,313 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 56d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,272 | +$29 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca737 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $76,647 | +$5,672 +7.4% | 2 |
| 56d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 | |
| 56d | elrah | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 56d | morkolen | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,028 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 56d | baba1443 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,387 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 56d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 56d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 56d | TangS4189 | 78,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,712 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 56d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,496 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca716 fills | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $50,321 | +$642 +1.3% | 2 |
| 56d | AnonymousPerson | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,090 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 56d | ssddssd | 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$79 +7.5% | 3 |
| 56d | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,295 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca719 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $47,836 | +$2,867 +6.0% | 2 |
| 56d | gobblewobble | 78,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,308 | +$55 +4.2% | 2 |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 80,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,187 | −$306 −9.6% | — |
| 56d | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,633 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 56d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $5,865 | +$1,095 +19% | 3 |
| 56d | Navigator77 | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,310 | +$32 +0.5% | 2 |
| 56d | Mizukaze | 72,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,526 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca79 fills | 78,000 | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $26,520 | −$4,058 −15% | — |
| 56d | Mizukaze | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,668 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 56d | averagerandomman2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | +$203 +9.9% | 3 |
| 56d | 1881aa2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,396 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca76 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,150 | +$181 +1.8% | 2 |
| 56d | IH2P2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $3,351 | +$414 +12% | 3 |
| 56d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 80,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,163 | +$568 +14% | 3 |
| 56d | Clawbangers | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$14 +1.1% | 2 |
| 56d | 1881aa | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,340 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 56d | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,990 | −$10 −0.2% | — | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,952 | +$580 +20% | 3 |
| 56d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $11,045 | +$2,862 +26% | 4 |
| 56d | Unipolarboy | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 56d | 78,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,666 | +$607 +11% | 3 | |
| 56d | 0x61c4…dea5 | 78,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$669 +11% | 3 |
| 56d | Candela | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 56d | Candela | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,979 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 56d | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$16 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 56d | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,089 | +$51 +2.5% | 2 | |
| 56d | detoxification | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,744 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 56d | winwin10086 | 82,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,760 | −$85 −3.1% | — |
| 56d | detoxification | 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,550 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 56d | detoxification2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,909 | +$91 +2.3% | 2 |
| 56d | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 56d | YautjaPM2 | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,079 | +$29 +0.2% | 2 |
| 56d | Glennraven | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,492 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 56d | Rust701 | 78,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$174 +8.7% | 3 |
| 56d | ndjkasn | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,374 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 56d | lan008 | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,982 | −$28 −1.4% | — |
| 56d | 76,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | −$28 −1.5% | — | |
| 56d | 78,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,706 | +$304 +18% | 3 | |
| 56d | 84,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$9 −0.9% | — | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,373 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 56d | Soham892 | 82,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$61 +2.9% | 2 |
| 56d | FaceShot2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $2,883 | −$2,883 −100% | 8 |
| 56d | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $45,957 | −$88 −0.2% | — | |
| 56d | 0xf705…3ca7 | 82,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | −$51 −3.2% | — |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.