| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,000 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $2,475 | −$10 −0.4% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 640 | 80¢ → 87¢ | $557 | +$45 +8.8% |
| Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 3,326 | 19¢ → 13¢ | $432 | −$205 −32% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 480 | 52¢ → 86¢ | $410 | +$163 +66% |
| Will Achim Steiner be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 40¢ | $396 | +$395 +39450% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 250 | 72¢ → 83¢ | $206 | +$26 +15% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 35¢ → 92¢ | $183 | +$112 +158% |
| Will Colombe Cahen-Salvador be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 444 | <1¢ → 38¢ | $169 | +$168 +37956% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 410 | 52¢ → 40¢ | $163 | −$51 −24% |
| Will Bruno Donat be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | Yes | 409 | <1¢ → 38¢ | $154 | +$154 +37657% |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 140 | 60¢ → 96¢ | $135 | +$52 +62% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 220 | 25¢ → 59¢ | $129 | +$73 +132% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,000 | 9¢ → 12¢ | $120 | +$30 +33% |
| Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | No | 131 | 21¢ → 92¢ | $120 | +$92 +337% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 130 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $90 | +$4 +4.5% |
| Natural Disaster in 2026?Ends in 128d | No | 100 | 74¢ → 89¢ | $89 | +$15 +20% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 3?Ends in 12d | No | 164 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $81 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 150 | 41¢ → 53¢ | $79 | +$17 +28% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 72¢ → 96¢ | $77 | +$20 +34% |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 88 | 84¢ → 76¢ | $66 | −$8 −10% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,000 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $51 | −$189 −79% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 70 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $44 | +$1 +1.5% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 51 | 21¢ → 82¢ | $42 | +$31 +292% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 50 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$4 +12% |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 42 | 70¢ → 91¢ | $39 | +$9 +29% |
| Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $31 | −$29 −48% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 26 | 53¢ → 97¢ | $25 | +$12 +83% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 1 or weaker?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,270 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $25 | +$5 +24% |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $24 | +$7 +39% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?Ends in 68d | Yes | 200 | 11¢ → 12¢ | $24 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Will France pass a national budget by December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 40 | 47¢ → 49¢ | $20 | +$1 +5.4% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 37 | 45¢ → 48¢ | $18 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 26 | 65¢ → 68¢ | $18 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Ends in 434d | OpenAI | 300 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Paris curfew effectively lifted by October 24?Ends in 2h | Yes | 1,465 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $15 | −$78 −84% |
| Will Film/TV production expensing become law this year?Ends in 69d | Yes | 209 | 1¢ → 6¢ | $13 | +$11 +540% |
| France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?Ends in 38d | Yes | 85 | 4¢ → 14¢ | $12 | +$9 +311% |
| Will Mia Mottley be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 135 | <1¢ → 9¢ | $12 | +$12 +7189% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 30 | 25¢ → 38¢ | $11 | +$4 +50% |
| Will Broad Front (FA) win the most seats in Seville in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 91¢ → 98¢ | $10 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +11% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 10 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$2 +30% |
| Will Vox win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will CCa win the most seats in Santa Cruz de Tenerife in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Salamanca in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 10 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.0% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 24¢ → 32¢ | $9 | +$2 +31% |
| Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $9 | −$0 −1.6% |
| Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 12 | 71¢ → 79¢ | $9 | +$1 +11% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027Ends in 250d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Ends in 68d | No | 50 | 18¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$1 −8.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 65¢ → 79¢ | $8 | +$1 +21% |
| Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 453 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $8 | +$0 +3.2% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 4?Ends in 12d | No | 10 | 60¢ → 75¢ | $7 | +$1 +24% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 64¢ → 66¢ | $7 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 2?Ends in 12d | Yes | 40 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $6 | +$1 +22% |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 47¢ → 54¢ | $5 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Alicia Bárcena be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 717 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | +$4 +500% |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | Yes | 77 | 35¢ → 6¢ | $4 | −$22 −84% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Pontevedra in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 50 | 3¢ → 8¢ | $4 | +$3 +167% |
| Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 24?Ends in 2h | Yes | 411 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $4 | −$0 −10% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 12¢ → 18¢ | $4 | +$1 +52% |
| Will Vance peak at Category 5?Ends in 12d | Yes | 63 | 2¢ → 5¢ | $3 | +$2 +167% |
| Nuñez out as French Interior Minister by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 20 | 2¢ → 10¢ | $2 | +$2 +412% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 18 | 21¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$2 −55% |
| Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | No | 2 | 76¢ → 70¢ | $1 | −$0 −7.9% |
| Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 70d | Yes | 10 | 28¢ → 10¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 10 | 5¢ → 9¢ | $1 | +$0 +70% |
| Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 4 | 42¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$1 −57% |
| Will PP win the most seats in Segovia in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 8 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $0 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Amina Mohammed be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 250d | Yes | 4 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $0 | +$0 +1123% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 261 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 90 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the Biggest Pot at the Final Table Be 250m+ Chips?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 53 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 22 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum above 2,355 on May 5, 4PM ET?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 18, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,113 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - May 7, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 160 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,110 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 30, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 40 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 70 by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 60 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 55 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - April 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down on June 18?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 107 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,377 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 13 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 810 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 39 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,070 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
