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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 100% | +53 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −20 pts | −95 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −82 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −69 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263d | satorisensei | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,959 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d |  msm299 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,877 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | 103060active | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $10,040 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | fangniuwa | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,585 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d |  Venancio- | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,037 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | jhtc | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,471 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | Thin-Print | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $21,533 | −$22 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | abn41 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,226 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | High-Level-Clan | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,057 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | baba2787 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,451 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 263d |  2121212121 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,903 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | onekey09 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $34,120 | +$34 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | yyzzrebirth | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,400 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | iamgone | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 263d | Rin2x | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | ReNtHaL | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d | iamgone2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,080 | +$86 +0.7% | 2 |
| 263d | Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-acc | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,268 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d | dz204 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,837 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 263d | Insecure-ReplicaNew account | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,792 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d | RoadtoPorsche911 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d |  noreasapa | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | Venancio- | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 263d | zoquendo | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | Bobby555 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,980 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 263d | ctzxx | 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$34 +2.6% | 2 |
| 263d | averagerandomman2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $5,566 | +$1,322 +24% | 4 |
| 263d | averagerandomman3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,506 | +$336 +5.2% | 2 |
| 263d | Thin-Print | 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,898 | +$22 +1.2% | 2 |
| 263d | Rin2x | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d | Valid-Processing | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,016 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 263d | Bezi077 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,464 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 263d |  Alek01 | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$29 +2.1% | 2 |
| 263d | noloainakaila | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,936 | +$38 +1.3% | 2 |
| 263d | d0d | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,139 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 263d | Rickz882 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,363 | +$101 +3.0% | 2 |
| 263d | luwis99 | 80,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$89 −8.7% | — |
| 263d | ace | 78,000 | BuyNo6¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 263d |  upont2 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,922 | +$578 +12% | 3 |
| 263d | jhtc | 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,373 | +$100 +4.2% | 2 |
| 263d | smartttt7 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $20,878 | +$17,679 +85% | 4 |
| 263d | momochang | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,985 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | xiuchang | 86,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,299 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | ctzxx | 78,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | +$133 +7.7% | 3 |
| 263d | Profile-Setting | 80,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | +$64 +5.2% | 2 |
| 263d | Profile-Setting | 78,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$158 −13% | — |
| 263d | Revolving-Popcorn | 78,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$95 +8.7% | 3 |
| 263d | PmDerek2 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,580 | +$85 +1.1% | 2 |
| 263d | PmDerek | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,988 | −$12 −0.3% | — |
| 263d | hersoan2025 | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 263d | Profile-Setting | 78,000 | BuyYes88¢ → 100¢ | $1,223 | +$167 +14% | 3 |
| 263d |  0x66b71 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,222 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 263d | coltsmildx3 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo31¢ → 0¢ | $9,995 | −$9,995 −100% | 12 |
| 263d | edseah | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,480 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 263d | upont3 fills | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,349 | +$293 +1.0% | 2 |
| 263d | 0x1461cC6e5 fills | 78,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $10,388 | +$4,381 +42% | 4 |
| 263d |  Barron. | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 263d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $9,684 | +$996 +10% | 3 |
| 263d | satorisensei | 78,000 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$161 +8.9% | 3 |
| 263d | pablosanchez | 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.