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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78,000 | 0% | −58 pts | −98 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −33 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 0% | −23 pts | −97 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −70 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −94 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −84 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −52 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | — | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d |  AcctToBeRetired2 fills | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $23,514 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Thin-Print3 fills | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $42,292 | −$42 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | AcctToBeRetired | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $23,266 | −$23 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Wide-ChefNew account | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,628 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | High-Level-Clan | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,158 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Eirikson | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,160 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Other-Walkway | 88,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $17,149 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,295 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | zoquendo | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,103 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d |  ZeinST | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | onekey092 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $90,977 | +$95 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | geraldhew89 | 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,006 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | geraldhew89 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 262d | bhkMarvin | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,973 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | janetallen | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,451 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 262d | SkyLove7 | 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,677 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 262d |  FXC3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,820 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | randolphsean | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,524 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 262d |  cabro0971 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | leaguebro | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,732 | −$21 −1.2% | — |
| 262d | bea13 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | dylan60 | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,545 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | yzfcqf888666 | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $9,027 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | 1337zzz1337 | 78,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,264 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 262d |  upont | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,838 | +$87 +1.1% | 2 |
| 262d | giftedbytheforest | 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$19 +1.2% | 2 |
| 262d | congRATulations | 78,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,197 | −$31 −2.6% | — |
| 262d | 0x0d6a…d343 | 78,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,932 | −$54 −2.8% | — |
| 262d | LeyJamesO | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,335 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | Costly-AccountabilityNew account | 78,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,555 | −$54 −3.5% | — |
| 262d | Illustrious-Notebook | 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,142 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Fighter085 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | Dirty-Reorganisation | 78,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,440 | +$60 +4.2% | 2 |
| 262d | 0x1461cC6e4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 100¢ | $9,799 | +$14,077 +144% | 8 |
| 262d | AZwater2 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,460 | +$27 +0.2% | 2 |
| 262d | 0xvanilla | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,622 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 262d | jhtc | 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,606 | −$14 −0.4% | — |
| 262d | GaleMartin4 fills | 78,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $4,684 | +$1,320 +28% | 4 |
| 262d | Thin-Print10 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $46,986 | +$861 +1.8% | 2 |
| 262d |  Donateplease | 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 262d | hersoan2025 | 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 262d | Sane-WorkhorseNew account | 78,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $2,083 | −$2,083 −100% | 8 |
| 262d | zoquendo4 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,401 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | alius2025 | 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 262d | cdfegr | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | fhihc | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | fdffgr | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | ddfvg | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | ffgrgrhrt | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,012 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | gogoupo | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | hellojackie | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,009 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | goodboyyao | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,005 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | smartttt | 78,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $8,189 | +$2,875 +35% | 4 |
| 262d | VinISabadin11 | 80,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,204 | −$29 −0.9% | — |
| 262d | 0x1461cC6e3 fills | 80,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,689 | +$536 +8.0% | 2 |
| 262d | mxs | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,492 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | seewe5 fills | 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $10,130 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 262d | Curly-LimbNew account | 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,999 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | seewe2 fills | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,609 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | franko41 | 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,955 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
Fartard5,435 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.