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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88,000 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 100% | +6 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 96,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 98,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 295d |  2121212121 | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,000 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | daily1006 | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,593 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 295d | hfdtrd9087 | 88,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 295d | Batundi8 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $40,603 | +$5,248 +13% | 3 |
| 295d | zoquendo | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,574 | +$26 +1.0% | 2 |
| 295d | pc9527 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $44,841 | +$487 +1.1% | 2 |
| 295d | apium87112 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$361 +6.0% | 2 |
| 295d |  x317 | 88,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$68 +6.6% | 2 |
| 295d | noloainakaila | 88,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,941 | +$188 +6.4% | 3 |
| 295d |  DOCW | 88,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,475 | +$225 +15% | 3 |
| 295d | mQAQm2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $3,328 | +$1,928 +58% | 5 |
| 295d | BadBaus | 88,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,484 | +$617 +18% | 3 |
| 295d | kai-xin | 88,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,419 | +$194 +14% | 3 |
| 295d | VGKAKAXI | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,523 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 100¢ | $6,195 | +$5,793 +94% | 5 |
| 295d | pedrosanchez69 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,613 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | edseah | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,307 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | firexnow | 88,000 | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,954 | −$1,954 −100% | 5 |
| 295d |  danielillo0077 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,744 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | QQai11 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,580 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | Bubba4Pres2 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,000 | +$31 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | Bubba4Pres | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | luckee2026 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | averagerandomman | 88,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,788 | +$928 +52% | 5 |
| 295d | reuben-11 | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | PmDerek4 fills | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $11,420 | −$29 −0.3% | — |
| 295d | mulpodsa852 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  Kael. | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,028 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 295d | 2121212121 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | Warm-Elite | 88,000 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $1,054 | +$1,054 +100% | — |
| 295d | yoyopm | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,778 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | shadir | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | ruden | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | baifo | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | 2121212121 | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,013 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | Iann31412 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,037 | +$30 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | satrader88pm | 92,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,023 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 295d | mQAQm | 88,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,307 | −$1,307 −100% | 5 |
| 295d | Kayn | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,280 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | listaRR | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | heoshen | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | sweetyli | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | fulafy | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | excel1256 | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,002 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d |  Ouireaux | 86,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,060 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 295d | ShawnLayer | 86,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | Bulky-Axis2 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,519 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | PmDerek5 fills | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,041 | +$33 +0.3% | 2 |
| 295d | Fastgaard | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,120 | +$32 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | nonkenny90 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,896 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | ntdh1 | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,010 | +$44 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | vee17 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,300 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | Dexter0808 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,940 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | WanTonMee | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,046 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d |  dukunmarket3 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,000 | +$69 +0.4% | 2 |
| 295d |  UwO | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $51,118 | +$516 +1.0% | 2 |
| 295d | cccuh | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,778 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 295d | rakitit | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,205 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 295d | gogowin021 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,412 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 295d | Fastgaard | 86,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
Fartard27,960 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 88,000 means the market gives it about 0%.