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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86,000 | 0% | −12 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +39 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +13 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | UPbet | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,360 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d |  67BrainRot | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,589 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | Cavernous-Agriculture | 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,508 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d |  olegs | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,352 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | baba1443 | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,236 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 21d |  FXC | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,762 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d | PRIET | 86,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $4,613 | −$617 −13% | — |
| 21d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 86,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,129 | −$416 −13% | — |
| 21d | TangS4189 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 21d | WanTonMee | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,277 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 21d |  MOCAVERSE | 84,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | −$72 −2.3% | — |
| 21d |  coinman29 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $26,717 | +$5,535 +21% | 3 |
| 21d | 1881aa | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,440 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 21d | 1881aa3 fills | 84,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,172 | −$108 −1.3% | — |
| 21d | Bplnt3 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes24¢ → 0¢ | $3,598 | −$3,598 −100% | 11 |
| 21d | 0xf705…3ca72 fills | 86,000 | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,305 | −$3,305 −100% | 10 |
| 21d | Rin2x | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 21d |  Tttyh | 74,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | TangS4189 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,136 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 21d | Vort3xhz | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 22d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,111 | −$28 −1.3% | — |
| 22d | sirenm | 86,000 | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | −$792 −72% | — |
| 22d | suntori | 86,000 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,356 | −$527 −39% | — |
| 22d | TangS4189 | 90,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,061 | −$4 −0.2% | — |
| 22d | YautjaPM2 | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,973 | +$27 +0.3% | 2 |
| 22d |  GoodLuck68886 | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,390 | +$27 +1.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Candela | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,481 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,125 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,096 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Tttyh | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,550 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Tttyh | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,445 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | SkyLove7 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,648 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,725 | +$386 +10% | 3 |
| 22d | DOWNbet | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Navigator77 | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,482 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 22d | Navigator77 | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$32 +0.8% | 2 |
| 22d | coinman2 | 86,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 0¢ | $3,177 | −$3,177 −100% | 3 |
| 22d | 1881aa | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,230 | +$23 +1.0% | 2 |
| 22d | Doomster | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,457 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | detoxification | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 22d | olegs | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $10,423 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 22d | detoxification | 82,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 22d | H.xs | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,056 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 22d | wyh. | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,023 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,036 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | wh0511 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,050 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | 86,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$2,345 +195% | 5 |
| 22d |  Facaie | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 22d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing3 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,154 | +$34 +0.5% | 2 |
| 22d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,454 | +$12 +0.8% | 2 |
| 22d | olegs | 92,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,248 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 22d | TOWERCAPITAL | 86,000 | SellYes65¢ → 0¢ | $2,606 | +$2,606 +100% | — |
| 22d | nearping | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,154 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | nearping2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,248 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 22d | wotaktwot | 88,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,675 | +$702 +7.3% | 2 |
| 22d | detoxification | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | detoxification | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 22d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$139 +7.0% | 2 |
| 22d |  soylentgoy | 94,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,400 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Facaie | 90,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,301 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 86,000 means the market gives it about 0%.