| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5,298 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $5,092 | +$809 +19% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 2,712 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $2,509 | +$167 +7.1% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,583 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $2,487 | +$274 +12% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 2,400 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $2,357 | +$36 +1.6% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,303 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $2,153 | +$188 +9.6% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,103 | 84¢ → 91¢ | $1,916 | +$146 +8.2% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 1,818 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $1,700 | +$64 +3.9% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,489 | 47¢ → 93¢ | $1,382 | +$682 +97% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 1,230 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $1,138 | +$44 +4.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,000 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $991 | +$81 +9.0% |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,059 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $958 | −$37 −3.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 954 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $938 | +$99 +12% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,027 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $929 | +$36 +4.1% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | No | 852 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $720 | −$13 −1.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 720 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $711 | +$55 +8.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 23d | No | 1,309 | 25¢ → 45¢ | $589 | +$268 +83% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 607 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $534 | +$11 +2.2% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 837 | 51¢ → 59¢ | $490 | +$61 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 500 | 86¢ → 88¢ | $438 | +$8 +1.7% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 22,431 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $437 | −$1,577 −78% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 20,780 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $436 | −$34 −7.1% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | No | 424 | 72¢ → 94¢ | $400 | +$95 +31% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 488 | 58¢ → 77¢ | $374 | +$89 +31% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,916 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $316 | −$126 −29% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,912 | 14¢ → 16¢ | $300 | +$24 +8.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 340 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $294 | +$69 +31% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 313 | 73¢ → 94¢ | $292 | +$63 +27% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,867 | 27¢ → 15¢ | $286 | −$218 −43% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 379 | 69¢ → 75¢ | $282 | +$21 +8.0% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 644 | 49¢ → 42¢ | $267 | −$48 −15% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 246 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $238 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 4d | No | 243 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $225 | +$21 +10% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 264 | 78¢ → 82¢ | $216 | +$11 +5.1% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 223 | 87¢ → 97¢ | $216 | +$21 +11% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 240 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $212 | +$100 +88% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 400 | 33¢ → 52¢ | $206 | +$74 +56% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,036 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $202 | −$134 −40% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 191 | 72¢ → 97¢ | $185 | +$47 +34% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 203 | 87¢ → 86¢ | $173 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 213 | 74¢ → 81¢ | $172 | +$15 +9.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NC-04 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 5,262 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $168 | +$11 +6.7% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 184 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $162 | −$2 −1.1% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Ends in 72d | No | 164 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $152 | +$11 +7.8% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 8d | No | 145 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $142 | +$6 +4.4% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 145 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $137 | +$9 +7.3% |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 141 | 90¢ → 95¢ | $133 | +$6 +4.8% |
| No one announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 733 | 22¢ → 18¢ | $133 | −$24 −15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 124 | 13¢ → >99¢ | $124 | +$108 +668% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 144 | 87¢ → 85¢ | $122 | −$3 −2.4% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | No | 279 | 58¢ → 42¢ | $117 | −$45 −28% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 107 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $104 | +$5 +4.9% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | No | 117 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $96 | +$3 +3.6% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Justice be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | Yes | 263 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $95 | +$1 +1.0% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 141d | No | 257 | 58¢ → 36¢ | $93 | −$57 −38% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 379 | 10¢ → 24¢ | $89 | +$51 +135% |
| Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 97 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $83 | +$15 +22% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 2,578 | 14¢ → 3¢ | $83 | −$273 −77% |
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 143 | 37¢ → 52¢ | $74 | +$21 +41% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 85 | 67¢ → 84¢ | $72 | +$14 +25% |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 77 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $70 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 72 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $67 | +$3 +4.5% |
| Will Solana dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,014 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $56 | −$15 −21% |
| Will Together win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 37d | No | 56 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $54 | +$17 +48% |
| Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 148 | 52¢ → 36¢ | $53 | −$23 −30% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 75 | 63¢ → 72¢ | $53 | +$6 +13% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 126 | 66¢ → 41¢ | $51 | −$32 −39% |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 56 | 77¢ → 87¢ | $49 | +$6 +13% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 164 | 50¢ → 30¢ | $48 | −$33 −41% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 48 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $46 | −$0 −0.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,283 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $44 | −$33 −43% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,376 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $43 | +$3 +8.6% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 48 | 57¢ → 89¢ | $42 | +$15 +54% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 128d | No | 58 | 60¢ → 57¢ | $33 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,200 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $33 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the KS-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 34 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $33 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,073 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $32 | −$46 −59% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.8% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | Yes | 52 | 59¢ → 62¢ | $32 | +$1 +4.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 69d | No | 33 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $31 | +$3 +9.3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 356 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $30 | −$3 −10% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 36 | 69¢ → 84¢ | $30 | +$5 +22% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat?Ends in 11d | No | 41 | 57¢ → 74¢ | $30 | +$7 +30% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 360 | 19¢ → 8¢ | $28 | −$41 −60% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 69d | Yes | 66 | 23¢ → 38¢ | $25 | +$10 +68% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 37d | No | 47 | 25¢ → 51¢ | $24 | +$12 +106% |
| Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?Ends in 128d | No | 24 | 75¢ → >99¢ | $24 | +$6 +33% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | No | 24 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $24 | +$1 +5.6% |
| Israel election: will Likud lose seats?Ends in 4d | Yes | 24 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $23 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $23 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 24 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $23 | +$5 +29% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NV-03 House seat?Ends in 11d | Yes | 24 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $23 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $22 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 1,701 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $21 | −$35 −62% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 26 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $21 | +$0 +1.9% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | Yes | 29 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $20 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | No | 24 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $20 | +$1 +3.7% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 72 | 30¢ → 27¢ | $19 | −$3 −12% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 84 | 30¢ → 23¢ | $19 | −$6 −26% |
| Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 60 | 53¢ → 32¢ | $19 | −$13 −40% |
| Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?Ends in 3d | Yes | 28 | 59¢ → 57¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.5% |
