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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 405d | kkkkei | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,821 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 405d | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,506 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 405d | takeme2themoon | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,506 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 405d | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,040 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 405d | AZwater | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,949 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 405d | AZwater | 108,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,516 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 405d | Sharky69992 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,495 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | rwo | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 405d | AZwater | 110,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,516 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 405d | rwo3 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,991 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | prayer2008 | 112,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,993 | +$12 +0.6% | 2 |
| 405d | 112,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,492 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 406d | rwo | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,913 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 406d | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,579 | +$23 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 406d | 112,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,495 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 406d | easyclap4 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $8,423 | +$2,952 +35% | 3 |
| 406d | rwo | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,497 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 406d | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 406d | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,513 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 406d | kingofcoinflips5 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $12,160 | +$1,365 +11% | 2 |
| 406d | AZwater | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,513 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 406d | AZwater | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,506 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 406d | rwo2 fills | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 406d | drborrowedtime | 116,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,443 | +$178 +12% | 3 |
| 406d | 112,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | −$48 −4.3% | — | |
| 406d | 114,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$159 +12% | 3 | |
| 406d | 0xfb1c…963e | 116,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,215 | +$323 +27% | 3 |
| 406d | exceeding3 fills | 116,000 | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $5,625 | −$1,125 −20% | — |
| 406d | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 406d | 116,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $6,307 | +$1,985 +31% | 3 | |
| 406d | chefd | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 406d | AZwater | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,943 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 406d | aadvark | 114,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$210 +16% | 3 |
| 406d | kkkkei | 114,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,568 | +$255 +16% | 3 |
| 406d | Benhdz2025 | 116,000 | SellNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,157 | −$804 −69% | — |
| 406d | cheuodeds0600 | 122,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,619 | −$16 −0.6% | — |
| 406d | cheuodeds0600 | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,630 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 406d | 116,000 | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $2,863 | −$2,863 −100% | 6 | |
| 406d | nonkenny904 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,228 | +$209 +2.5% | 2 |
| 406d | nonkenny902 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | +$357 +14% | 3 |
| 406d | 114,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 100¢ | $2,175 | +$1,280 +59% | 4 | |
| 406d | Scottp1887 | 114,000 | SellYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | −$917 −79% | — |
| 406d | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 406d | doit100 | 114,000 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,560 | −$1,440 −56% | — |
| 406d | Sasaqtu | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,018 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 407d | 114,000 | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,725 | −$1,795 −104% | — | |
| 407d | 116,000 | SellYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | +$1,243 +100% | — | |
| 407d | exceeding5 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,389 | +$1,111 +17% | 3 |
| 407d | 112,000 | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $11,914 | +$4,466 +37% | 3 | |
| 407d | 114,000 | BuyNo57¢ → 0¢ | $4,514 | −$4,514 −100% | 3 | |
| 407d | sergay | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,419 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 407d | petya2 fills | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,232 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 407d | iamgone | 116,000 | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $2,068 | −$2,068 −100% | 8 |
| 407d | ahmedxa | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 407d | savagee | 120,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,539 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 |
| 407d | vhanedelrosario | 118,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$104 +5.8% | 2 |
| 407d | swagalier9 | 102,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,595 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 407d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 3 |
| 407d | 114,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 100¢ | $6,296 | +$5,584 +89% | 3 | |
| 407d | RothschildVIII | 110,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$80 +7.1% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.