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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −44 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +3 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −3 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 100,000 | 100% | +2 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 102,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404d |  stackinbit | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,201 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 405d | iamgone | 114,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,423 | −$45 −1.3% | — |
| 405d | sergay | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,727 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | savagee | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,057 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 405d | iamgone | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,506 | +$14 +0.4% | 2 |
| 405d | vhanedelrosario | 114,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $2,167 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 405d | iamgone | 118,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,513 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 405d | kingofcoinflips13 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $25,598 | +$13,315 +52% | 3 |
| 405d |  brockthebaby5 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $10,133 | +$4,601 +45% | 3 |
| 405d | brockthebaby | 116,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $2,218 | −$2,218 −100% | 5 |
| 405d | kingofcoinflips9 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $19,086 | −$19,086 −100% | 4 |
| 405d | Chalasis | 116,000 | SellYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,105 | +$1,105 +100% | — |
| 405d | petya | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | swagalier9 | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | alanefjran0623 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,948 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | Beneficial-Anticipation | 114,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,315 | −$36 −2.8% | — |
| 405d | KenobiDesigns | 110,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | −$13 −0.7% | — |
| 405d | easypredict2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,734 | +$483 +7.2% | 2 |
| 405d | petya | 100,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,634 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 405d | KenobiDesigns | 110,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,791 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 405d | easyclap5 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $13,551 | +$6,397 +47% | 3 |
| 406d | brockthebaby8 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $15,228 | +$10,129 +67% | 3 |
| 406d | brockthebaby7 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $8,774 | +$456 +5.2% | 2 |
| 406d | alanefjran0623 | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,479 | +$21 +0.6% | 2 |
| 406d | Ponzinibbio | 110,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,155 | +$18 +1.5% | 2 |
| 406d | nonkenny90 | 110,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$22 +1.9% | 2 |
| 407d | brockthebaby5 fills | 114,000 | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $10,177 | −$10,177 −100% | 3 |
| 407d | stackinbit2 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,147 | +$491 +16% | 2 |
| 407d | brockthebaby2 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $3,941 | +$1,519 +39% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby2 fills | 112,000 | BuyNo43¢ → 0¢ | $3,366 | −$3,366 −100% | 4 |
| 408d | 0xe3da…a0f92 fills | 120,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,366 | −$88 −2.0% | — |
| 408d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 112,000 | BuyNo39¢ → 0¢ | $1,373 | −$1,373 −100% | 3 |
| 408d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 116,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | +$445 +16% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby3 fills | 120,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,654 | +$136 +1.3% | 2 |
| 408d | brockthebaby | 110,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$420 +39% | 2 |
| 409d | 0xfb1c…963e | 110,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 4 |
| 409d | 0xb68a…c568 | 116,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$476 +18% | 2 |
| 409d | 0xb68a…c568 | 120,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | +$39 +3.9% | 2 |
| 409d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,583 | +$937 +12% | 2 |
| 409d | easyclap | 112,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,000 +67% | 3 |
| 409d | 0xb5fc…5ca42 fills | 120,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,371 | +$100 +3.0% | 2 |
| 409d | ma26 | 116,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | +$476 +18% | 2 |
| 410d | 0xe3da…a0f93 fills | 120,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,708 | +$150 +4.0% | 2 |
| 410d | 0xe3da…a0f9 | 118,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,265 | +$110 +8.7% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.