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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 116,000 | 0% | −65 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +7 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 118,000 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −6 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 401d | averagerandomman | 116,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,097 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | Fair-DepressiveNew account | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $11,143 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | 122,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,614 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 401d | 112,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,505 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 401d | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,183 | −$3 −0.1% | — | |
| 401d | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,162 | −$8 −0.1% | — | |
| 401d | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,416 | −$1 −0.1% | — | |
| 401d | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,722 | −$2 −0.1% | — | |
| 401d | 22323 | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,577 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | affs20791 | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | affs20791 | 114,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,494 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 401d | 116,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $83,470 | +$4,682 +5.6% | 2 | |
| 401d | c38c3 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,850 | +$150 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | 0xb9fe8078fd6c0275c631ec10fcf8d5cc52d6da | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | Sharky6999 | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,960 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | JSL23 | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$50 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | biznierius | 116,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,602 | +$198 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | FaceTissue3 fills | 116,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,845 | +$1,155 +17% | 3 |
| 401d | FaceTissue | 116,000 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,053 | −$547 −27% | — |
| 401d | 116,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$226 +19% | 3 | |
| 401d | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,730 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 401d | kkkkei | 116,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,442 | +$434 +18% | 3 |
| 401d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | 116,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $4,882 | −$4,882 −100% | 6 |
| 401d | 116,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $12,919 | +$6,991 +54% | 4 | |
| 401d | 22323 | 118,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,947 | −$53 −1.8% | — |
| 401d | AZwater | 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$22 +0.9% | 2 |
| 401d | 118,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,402 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 401d | exceeding | 116,000 | SellNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,238 | −$1,012 −82% | — |
| 401d | AZwater | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,565 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 401d | easypredict11 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $15,256 | +$1,162 +7.6% | 3 |
| 401d | suslikas2 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,381 | +$159 +3.6% | 2 |
| 401d | easyclap5 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,935 | +$319 +4.6% | 2 |
| 401d | Go-big-or-go-home2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$173 +6.9% | 3 |
| 401d | nonkenny905 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $9,662 | +$848 +8.8% | 2 |
| 401d | petya | 120,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,338 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 401d | prayer2008 | 114,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,859 | +$69 +3.7% | 2 |
| 401d | 116,000 | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $4,657 | −$4,657 −100% | 3 | |
| 401d | 118,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,769 | +$647 +11% | 3 | |
| 401d | Fair-DepressiveNew account | 114,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $10,379 | +$776 +7.5% | 2 |
| 401d | 22323 | 116,000 | BuyYes63¢ → 0¢ | $1,499 | −$1,499 −100% | 5 |
| 401d | affs20791 | 118,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,254 | +$139 +11% | 3 |
| 401d | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,494 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 401d | 118,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $9,957 | +$3,003 +30% | 2 | |
| 401d | 223232 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | +$555 +23% | 3 |
| 401d | hotero001 | 114,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 401d | jiangyiycn0767 | 114,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,539 | +$31 +2.0% | 2 |
| 401d | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 401d | JackWyatt | 116,000 | BuyYes66¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 401d | rdwyegb | 118,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,662 | +$240 +14% | 3 |
| 401d | 114,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $5,428 | +$779 +14% | 2 | |
| 402d | namgungminsu | 114,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $10,348 | +$325 +3.1% | 2 |
| 402d | swagalier9 | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,540 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 402d | affs20791 | 114,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $4,692 | +$308 +6.6% | 2 |
| 402d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyNo42¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$2,900 +138% | 5 |
| 402d | 122,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 | |
| 402d | 112,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 402d | 114,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$96 +7.4% | 2 | |
| 402d | zagga | 116,000 | SellYes55¢ → 0¢ | $1,942 | +$1,942 +100% | — |
| 403d | zagga | 116,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 5 |
| 403d | 120,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $6,879 | +$518 +7.5% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 116,000 means the market gives it about 0%.