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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118,000 | 0% | −26 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 116,000 | 100% | +49 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 114,000 | 100% | +22 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 120,000 | 0% | −10 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 124,000 | 0% | −1 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 112,000 | 100% | +10 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 110,000 | 100% | +4 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 104,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 122,000 | 0% | −4 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 108,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 106,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400d | amused85 | 116,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 400d | 22323 | 116,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,670 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 400d | 22323 | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,543 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 400d |  Prophet-Z | 118,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,827 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 400d |  YuoriTyy | 120,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,767 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 400d | rwo | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,004 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | AZwater | 116,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,994 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d |  VinnyViral4 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,476 | +$710 +5.3% | 2 |
| 400d | easypredict2 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,544 | +$247 +9.7% | 3 |
| 400d | 223232 fills | 118,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $5,183 | +$1,268 +24% | 4 |
| 400d | 22323 | 114,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,264 | −$69 −1.3% | — |
| 400d | Sasaqtu | 120,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,986 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d |  brockthebaby | 118,000 | BuyNo74¢ → 100¢ | $2,930 | +$1,030 +35% | 4 |
| 400d | easypredict | 118,000 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,150 | −$1,150 −100% | 5 |
| 400d | jiusiyu519333 | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,930 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | petya | 114,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | iSway | 120,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
| 400d | DRAGONRAZOR | 116,000 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,365 | −$135 −9.9% | — |
| 400d |  stackinbit | 114,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,481 | −$26 −1.7% | — |
| 400d | affs20791 | 116,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | +$270 +9.9% | 3 |
| 400d |  bl00m | 114,000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,021 | −$20 −1.9% | — |
| 400d | xiazhihao07852 fills | 110,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,497 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 400d | Snoper | 122,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | brockthebaby | 116,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $3,326 | +$634 +19% | 3 |
| 400d | VoidDan3 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,852 | +$23 +0.5% | 2 |
| 400d |  brodiaga | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,733 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | AZwater2 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | namgungminsu2 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,013 | +$102 +2.0% | 2 |
| 400d | xiazhihao0785 | 114,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,666 | +$52 +3.1% | 2 |
| 400d |  onchaingooner | 108,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,238 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 400d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyYes59¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$2,119 +69% | 4 |
| 400d | Go-big-or-go-home | 116,000 | BuyNo41¢ → 0¢ | $3,527 | −$3,527 −100% | 6 |
| 400d | amused85 | 116,000 | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $1,240 | +$760 +61% | 4 |
| 400d | nonkenny90 | 120,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$51 +2.0% | 2 |
| 400d | nonkenny904 fills | 112,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $11,449 | +$178 +1.6% | 2 |
| 401d | petya | 106,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 401d | petya | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,336 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 401d | Dragie2 fills | 124,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,345 | +$19 +0.4% | 2 |
| 401d | kingofcoinflips | 116,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $3,050 | −$3,050 −100% | 4 |
| 401d | DRAGONRAZOR | 118,000 | SellNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,992 | −$437 −22% | — |
| 401d |  Miffffy | 118,000 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,062 | −$316 −30% | — |
| 401d | YuoriTyy | 120,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $8,263 | +$513 +6.2% | 2 |
| 401d | Miffffy | 118,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,722 | +$462 +27% | 3 |
| 401d | Dragie | 104,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 401d | brockthebaby | 120,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,780 | +$220 +12% | 2 |
| 401d | Fair-DepressiveNew account | 114,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$260 +15% | 3 |
| 401d | bc1234 | 116,000 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $3,414 | +$1,606 +47% | 3 |
| 401d | 22323 | 114,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $4,533 | +$800 +18% | 3 |
| 402d | bc12342 fills | 114,000 | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $4,997 | +$2,043 +41% | 3 |
| 402d | brockthebaby | 116,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $2,495 | −$2,495 −100% | 3 |
| 402d | brockthebaby | 114,000 | BuyNo30¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | −$1,188 −100% | 4 |
DickTurbin1,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final “Close” price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for 118,000 means the market gives it about 0%.