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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84,000 | 100% | +8 pts | +97 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 82,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +94 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −52 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +73 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 72,000 | 100% | — | +15 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 66,000 | 100% | — | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 70,000 | 100% | — | +7 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 68,000 | 100% | — | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30d | apper | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,047 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 30d | lee886 | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,323 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 30d | morkolen | 84,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,123 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 30d | 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,546 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $9,121 | +$1,571 +17% | 3 |
| 30d | morkolen | 84,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$394 +32% | 2 |
| 30d | Velova | 84,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $1,247 | −$1,247 −100% | 2 |
| 30d | Rust701 | 84,000 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $6,097 | −$320 −5.2% | — |
| 30d | ssddssd2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $4,534 | +$546 +12% | 3 |
| 30d | Mizukaze | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,445 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Mizukaze | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,516 | +$18 +0.5% | 2 |
| 30d | ndjkasn | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,388 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Deepcoin | 84,000 | BuyNo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,158 | −$1,158 −100% | 5 |
| 30d | Navigator772 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,680 | +$42 +0.5% | 2 |
| 30d | On9Chasiu | 84,000 | SellYes49¢ → 100¢ | $1,231 | −$1,269 −103% | — |
| 30d | user9876543 | 84,000 | SellNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | +$1,016 +100% | — |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $4,172 | −$4,172 −100% | 7 |
| 30d | WanTonMee | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Xgs | 84,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$74 +4.3% | 2 |
| 30d | On9Chasiu | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$43 +1.8% | 2 |
| 30d | YautjaPM23 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,089 | +$21 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Candela | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,976 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Glennraven | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,819 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 30d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 86,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | +$302 +28% | 4 |
| 30d | qqmupup | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,705 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | averagerandomman7 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,773 | +$22 +0.3% | 2 |
| 30d | 84,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,014 | −$89 −4.4% | — | |
| 30d | PmDerek2 fills | 84,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,519 | −$133 −3.8% | — |
| 30d | MU247 | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,010 | −$4 −0.4% | — |
| 30d | ndjkasn | 84,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,401 | −$52 −3.7% | — |
| 30d | 0x2348…ec52 | 84,000 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | −$100 −3.8% | — |
| 30d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | Doomster | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,373 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | lingke | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,500 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 30d | PmDerek2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,021 | +$49 +1.6% | 2 |
| 30d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,151 | −$20 −0.1% | — | |
| 30d | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $20,151 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 30d | atkw | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | lee8862 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$89 +2.2% | 2 |
| 30d | weathersfaustinomga | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,209 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 30d | 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,290 | −$3 −0.2% | — | |
| 30d | DOWNbet2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,368 | +$22 +0.6% | 2 |
| 30d | 78,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $25,029 | −$25 −0.1% | — | |
| 30d | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,029 | +$25 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 31d | 0x2348…ec52 | 84,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,655 | +$88 +3.3% | 2 |
| 31d | jjjclv6 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,000 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | On9Chasiu | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,760 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 31d | Rust701 | 84,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$417 +6.9% | 2 |
| 31d | PmDerek | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,465 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 31d | yiqiz | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,965 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | yiqiz | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,247 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | chet010 | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 31d | MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,663 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 31d | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,114 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 | |
| 32d | 80,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,344 | +$56 +4.2% | 2 | |
| 32d | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$35 +2.4% | 2 | |
| 32d | 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | +$24 +2.4% | 2 | |
| 32d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 78,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,212 | +$205 +6.4% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 84,000 means the market gives it about 100%.