| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 62,761 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $47,698 | −$3,700 −7.2% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 27,346 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $26,484 | +$485 +1.9% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | No | 29,802 | 81¢ → 85¢ | $25,361 | +$1,143 +4.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 29,630 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $25,333 | +$148 +0.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 69,623 | 13¢ → 21¢ | $14,621 | +$5,474 +60% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 47d | Yes | 15,508 | 81¢ → 78¢ | $12,019 | −$564 −4.5% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 11,834 | 72¢ → 85¢ | $10,000 | +$1,499 +18% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 29,628 | 33¢ → 27¢ | $8,000 | −$1,712 −18% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 8,009 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $7,204 | +$247 +3.6% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 7,620 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $6,820 | +$342 +5.3% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 6,499 | 82¢ → 98¢ | $6,343 | +$1,020 +19% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 8,324 | 7¢ → 76¢ | $6,331 | +$5,748 +986% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6,179 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $6,120 | +$818 +15% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 6,266 | 64¢ → 97¢ | $6,071 | +$2,043 +51% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 7,900 | 34¢ → 72¢ | $5,649 | +$2,963 +110% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | Yes | 7,384 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $5,575 | +$372 +7.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | Yes | 5,831 | 57¢ → 92¢ | $5,335 | +$1,992 +60% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 5d | No | 4,617 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $4,225 | +$940 +29% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | No | 5,555 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $4,194 | −$73 −1.7% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 4,070 | 76¢ → 98¢ | $3,971 | +$881 +29% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,571 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $3,455 | +$177 +5.4% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 5,612 | 73¢ → 61¢ | $3,395 | −$721 −18% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 12,464 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $3,303 | +$131 +4.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 3,193 | 37¢ → 98¢ | $3,142 | +$1,971 +168% |
| Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,679 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,639 | +$85 +3.3% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 11,869 | 12¢ → 21¢ | $2,492 | +$1,108 +80% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 2,757 | 64¢ → 86¢ | $2,373 | +$616 +35% |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Ends in 69d | Yes | 14,934 | 25¢ → 16¢ | $2,315 | −$1,426 −38% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?Ends in 2d | No | 2,119 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $2,088 | +$111 +5.6% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | Yes | 9,360 | 21¢ → 22¢ | $2,012 | +$4 +0.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,497 | 91¢ → 81¢ | $2,010 | −$257 −11% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 2,046 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,978 | +$29 +1.5% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,886 | 59¢ → 68¢ | $1,974 | +$281 +17% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,950 | 54¢ → 96¢ | $1,862 | +$804 +76% |
| Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 3,033 | 16¢ → 60¢ | $1,804 | +$1,305 +261% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 1,926 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $1,780 | −$4 −0.2% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | No | 1,899 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $1,719 | +$141 +9.0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,783 | 65¢ → 96¢ | $1,710 | +$560 +49% |
| Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 1,718 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $1,669 | +$99 +6.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3,998 | 39¢ → 41¢ | $1,619 | +$73 +4.7% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,760 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $1,619 | +$42 +2.7% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 22?Ends ended | No | 1,616 | 66¢ → >99¢ | $1,616 | +$554 +52% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 43d | Yes | 1,604 | 3¢ → 98¢ | $1,576 | +$1,526 +3046% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?Ends in 73d | No | 1,645 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $1,573 | +$348 +28% |
| Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,319 | 57¢ → 67¢ | $1,559 | +$244 +19% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,560 | 4¢ → 98¢ | $1,535 | +$1,475 +2458% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,707 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $1,516 | −$76 −4.8% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,500 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $1,454 | +$34 +2.4% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,386 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $1,377 | +$158 +13% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,350 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $1,344 | +$33 +2.5% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 1,600 | 3¢ → 84¢ | $1,336 | +$1,286 +2572% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 1,337 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $1,328 | +$56 +4.4% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 1,342 | 99¢ → 99¢ | $1,327 | −$7 −0.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,740 | 53¢ → 48¢ | $1,315 | −$148 −10% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,372 | 18¢ → 96¢ | $1,312 | +$1,061 +423% |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 1,349 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,310 | +$57 +4.5% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,977 | 56¢ → 65¢ | $1,288 | +$186 +17% |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,495 | 78¢ → 52¢ | $1,285 | −$668 −34% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 1,852 | 59¢ → 69¢ | $1,284 | +$184 +17% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Ends in 1d | No | 1,324 | 64¢ → 96¢ | $1,273 | +$425 +50% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 2,039 | 45¢ → 62¢ | $1,264 | +$348 +38% |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 1,778 | 46¢ → 71¢ | $1,253 | +$439 +54% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Ends ended | No | 1,641 | 49¢ → 76¢ | $1,239 | +$434 +54% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?Ends in 23d | Yes | 5,955 | 25¢ → 20¢ | $1,191 | −$276 −19% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | No | 1,320 | 67¢ → 90¢ | $1,181 | +$294 +33% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 46d | Yes | 18,349 | 23¢ → 6¢ | $1,101 | −$3,188 −74% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 99d | Yes | 1,102 | 10¢ → 96¢ | $1,061 | +$951 +863% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1,317 | 73¢ → 80¢ | $1,047 | +$86 +8.9% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 2,200 | 67¢ → 47¢ | $1,023 | −$447 −30% |
| Will the highest score achieved by an Anthropic Claude model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 69d | No | 1,135 | 43¢ → 90¢ | $1,015 | +$532 +110% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4,147 | 11¢ → 24¢ | $1,014 | +$546 +117% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,600 | 5¢ → 63¢ | $1,013 | +$933 +1166% |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 990 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $987 | +$17 +1.7% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–6%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 3,628 | 7¢ → 27¢ | $980 | +$738 +305% |
| Will Harry Kane finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 69d | Yes | 8,498 | 3¢ → 12¢ | $977 | +$712 +268% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?Ends in 2d | No | 1,129 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $954 | +$24 +2.5% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 6h | No | 940 | 51¢ → >99¢ | $936 | +$459 +96% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 1,000 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $935 | +$65 +7.5% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 940 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $902 | +$192 +27% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?Ends in 8d | No | 1,000 | 78¢ → 90¢ | $900 | +$120 +15% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 1,000 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $895 | +$17 +1.9% |
| Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 890 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $881 | +$15 +1.7% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,000 | 72¢ → 86¢ | $855 | +$135 +19% |
| Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | No | 874 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $848 | +$34 +4.1% |
| Base FDV above $1B one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 2,201 | 51¢ → 39¢ | $847 | −$285 −25% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 855 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $841 | +$72 +9.4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,497 | 8¢ → 34¢ | $837 | +$637 +319% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 5,019 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $828 | −$183 −18% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 46d | No | 2,995 | 25¢ → 27¢ | $809 | +$59 +7.9% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 1,140 | 43¢ → 71¢ | $804 | +$317 +65% |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?Ends in 69d | No | 808 | 65¢ → 99¢ | $797 | +$269 +51% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 791 | 30¢ → >99¢ | $791 | +$552 +231% |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 814 | 69¢ → 94¢ | $768 | +$204 +36% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 11d | Yes | 2,567 | 31¢ → 29¢ | $750 | −$56 −7.0% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 860 | 52¢ → 87¢ | $748 | +$301 +67% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)?Ends in 434d | Yes | 4,462 | 13¢ → 17¢ | $747 | +$152 +26% |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Ends in 434d | Yes | 756 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $746 | +$133 +22% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 1,083 | 64¢ → 69¢ | $742 | +$48 +6.9% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 1,048 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $739 | +$148 +25% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 900 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $738 | +$43 +6.1% |
