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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -12% | 100% | +60 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 8% | 100% | +28 pts | +29 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 7% | 100% | +20 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| -9% | 100% | +42 pts | +46 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| -10% | 100% | +45 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| -6% | 100% | +13 pts | +16 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| -11% | 100% | +43 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 6% | 100% | +11 pts | +14 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 12% | 100% | +63 pts | +48 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| -7% | 100% | +26 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| -8% | 100% | +41 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 11% | 100% | +38 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 9% | 100% | +46 pts | +45 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| 10% | 100% | +46 pts | +43 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 259d | pelik | 7% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 259d | chaosj88 | 8% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 259d | MistahFox | 8% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,672 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 259d | MistahFox | 7% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,322 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 259d |  CoinTrick | 6% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,265 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | Prickly-PottyNew account | -12% | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 260d | MistahFox | -7% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,399 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 260d | MistahFox | -12% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $4,494 | +$156 +3.5% | 2 |
| 260d | MistahFox | -11% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,792 | +$58 +3.2% | 2 |
| 260d | MistahFox | -10% | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,582 | +$49 +3.1% | 2 |
| 260d | MistahFox | -9% | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,501 | +$37 +2.5% | 2 |
| 265d |  PaddyAlpha | -6% | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,351 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
Bitcoin daily candle change in 2026?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for -12% means the market gives it about 100%.