| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | No | 12,000 | 50¢ → 56¢ | $6,708 | +$708 +12% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 12,000 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $5,292 | −$708 −12% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 913 | 72¢ → 88¢ | $804 | +$148 +23% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 882 | 61¢ → 89¢ | $785 | +$251 +47% |
| Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 567 | 40¢ → 83¢ | $468 | +$241 +106% |
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 952 | 46¢ → 46¢ | $435 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 477 | 42¢ → 69¢ | $328 | +$130 +65% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 948 | 38¢ → 35¢ | $327 | −$32 −8.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?Ends in 4d | Yes | 320 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $291 | +$16 +6.0% |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | No | 332 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $289 | +$76 +36% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $281 | +$14 +5.2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 423 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $258 | +$9 +3.8% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by June 30, 2027?Ends in 250d | No | 246 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $236 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 356 | 45¢ → 61¢ | $217 | +$59 +37% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 201 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $199 | +$12 +6.7% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 424 | 37¢ → 46¢ | $193 | +$36 +23% |
| Will Pruna have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$13 +7.1% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 318 | 55¢ → 58¢ | $184 | +$10 +5.8% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 243 | 76¢ → 75¢ | $181 | −$4 −1.9% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 882 | 42¢ → 21¢ | $181 | −$187 −51% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 201 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $179 | +$49 +37% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 200 | 45¢ → 78¢ | $155 | +$65 +72% |
| Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 77¢ → 98¢ | $146 | +$31 +27% |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 289 | 37¢ → 49¢ | $142 | +$36 +34% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 154 | 79¢ → 90¢ | $138 | +$16 +13% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 244 | 49¢ → 53¢ | $129 | +$11 +9.2% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 479 | 38¢ → 27¢ | $127 | −$55 −30% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 138 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $124 | +$25 +25% |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 245 | 41¢ → 47¢ | $115 | +$15 +15% |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 214 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $114 | −$20 −15% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?Ends ended | No | 137 | 70¢ → 79¢ | $108 | +$11 +11% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 68d | Yes | 198 | 55¢ → 52¢ | $103 | −$7 −6.0% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 127 | 53¢ → 81¢ | $102 | +$35 +51% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 243 | 22¢ → 41¢ | $101 | +$48 +90% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 183 | 38¢ → 55¢ | $100 | +$30 +44% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 92?Ends in 68d | Yes | 105 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $99 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 167 | 47¢ → 59¢ | $98 | +$19 +24% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 90?Ends in 68d | Yes | 100 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $94 | −$1 −1.4% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 65¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$25 +38% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 202 | 22¢ → 44¢ | $89 | +$44 +99% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 100 | 86¢ → 81¢ | $81 | −$5 −5.8% |
| Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 289 | 16¢ → 28¢ | $81 | +$33 +71% |
| Will the US national average gas price be $4.2900+ on October 23?Ends ended | Yes | 80 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $79 | +$7 +9.1% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 154 | 40¢ → 51¢ | $79 | +$17 +28% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | Yes | 324 | 50¢ → 23¢ | $74 | −$88 −54% |
| Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?Ends in 10h | Yes | 78 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $73 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 180 | 38¢ → 41¢ | $73 | +$5 +6.6% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 84 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $73 | +$11 +18% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 87 | 13¢ → 84¢ | $72 | +$61 +542% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 126 | 32¢ → 53¢ | $67 | +$27 +68% |
| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Ends in 8d | Yes | 140 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $65 | +$6 +11% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 180 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $63 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 66 | 43¢ → 94¢ | $62 | +$33 +116% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 357 | 24¢ → 17¢ | $61 | −$23 −28% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 165 | 31¢ → 37¢ | $60 | +$9 +17% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 180 | 19¢ → 33¢ | $59 | +$24 +71% |
| Will StandX launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $58 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 183 | 28¢ → 30¢ | $54 | +$3 +6.7% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 180 | 56¢ → 29¢ | $52 | −$48 −48% |
| Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 100d | Yes | 201 | 10¢ → 24¢ | $47 | +$27 +133% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d | No | 320 | 16¢ → 14¢ | $46 | −$5 −10% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 82 | 49¢ → 54¢ | $44 | +$4 +9.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 300 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $44 | −$2 −3.3% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 120 | 36¢ → 36¢ | $43 | −$1 −1.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510?Ends ended | No | 52 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $41 | +$2 +4.3% |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 322 | 14¢ → 12¢ | $40 | −$7 −14% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 39 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $38 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 154 | 26¢ → 25¢ | $38 | −$2 −6.0% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Ends in 100d | Yes | 80 | 43¢ → 44¢ | $35 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 26M in October?Ends in 7d | No | 34 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $33 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 42 | 31¢ → 79¢ | $33 | +$20 +156% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | Yes | 57 | 17¢ → 57¢ | $32 | +$23 +235% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | Yes | 100 | 16¢ → 32¢ | $32 | +$16 +97% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 42 | 39¢ → 74¢ | $31 | +$15 +89% |
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?Ends in 100d | Yes | 80 | 28¢ → 39¢ | $31 | +$9 +39% |
| Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 123 | 37¢ → 25¢ | $30 | −$15 −33% |
| Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 200 | 16¢ → 15¢ | $30 | −$2 −6.6% |
| Will Taylor Swift's daily YouTube view count hit 25M in October?Ends in 7d | No | 30 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $29 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 256 | 28¢ → 11¢ | $28 | −$43 −60% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 30¢ → 40¢ | $28 | +$7 +34% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 38d | Yes | 60 | 32¢ → 44¢ | $26 | +$7 +38% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 202 | 40¢ → 12¢ | $24 | −$56 −70% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 28 | 49¢ → 87¢ | $24 | +$11 +78% |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 94?Ends in 68d | No | 205 | 7¢ → 11¢ | $22 | +$8 +56% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?Ends in 69d | Yes | 90 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $21 | −$2 −7.2% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 8d | Yes | 96 | 10¢ → 21¢ | $20 | +$10 +100% |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 398 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $20 | −$13 −40% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 70 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $20 | −$2 −9.0% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 17 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $16 | +$2 +12% |
| Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 30M tonnes at end of December 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 20 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $15 | −$1 −7.3% |
| Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 60 | 20¢ → 25¢ | $15 | +$3 +23% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 46 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $13 | +$1 +7.1% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 20 | 37¢ → 63¢ | $13 | +$5 +69% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 38d | Yes | 62 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.6% |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 46 | 38¢ → 23¢ | $10 | −$7 −40% |
| Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 46¢ → 86¢ | $9 | +$4 +87% |
| Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $9 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 215 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $8 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on December 31?Ends in 71d | Yes | 78 | 2¢ → 10¢ | $8 | +$6 +400% |
| Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 242 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $6 | −$41 −88% |
