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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45-47.5k | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| <40k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 40-42.5k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 42.5-45k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| 47.5-50k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| >50k | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| ETF not approved | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1017d |  aenews-915 | 45-47.5k | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,597 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1017d |  ImJustKen | <40k | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,297 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 1017d | ImJustKen | >50k | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 1018d | ponzinomic | ETF not approved | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $1,324 | +$271 +20% | 5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 45-47.5k means the market gives it about 100%.