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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 117–118k | 100% | +86 pts | +92 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <116k | 0% | −10 pts | −38 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 116–117k | 0% | −9 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 118–119k | 0% | −18 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| >119k | 0% | −49 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 462d | TheSpider2 fills | 117–118k | SellYes61¢ → 100¢ | $4,668 | −$3,034 −65% | — |
| 462d | 911TurboS | 118–119k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,004 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d |  PaddyAlpha | 117–118k | SellYes>99¢ | $3,675 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 462d | SaylorMoon | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $139,123 | +$140 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d |  LlamaEnjoyer | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $99,900 | +$100 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d |  Parz1vaI | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d | tf2 | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $97,635 | +$98 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d | cipherpilot | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,700 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d | 0x97cc…bbbf | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d | Sharky69993 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $98,069 | +$98 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d |  AgricultureSecretary2 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $77,700 | +$78 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d |  Chanqua | >119k | SellNo>99¢ | $2,266 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 462d | 911TurboS | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $483,115 | +$484 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d |  VinnyViral8 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $29,644 | +$2,368 +8.0% | 3 |
| 462d | edc-102 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d | tsekinming01 | 117–118k | BuyYes>99¢ | $67,684 | +$68 +0.1% | 2 |
| 462d | PaddyAlpha | 117–118k | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,651 | +$28 +0.8% | 2 |
| 462d |  arcisdead | 117–118k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $7,567 | +$132 +1.7% | 2 |
| 462d | AssafAm | 117–118k | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,332 | +$24 +1.8% | 2 |
| 462d | affs207912 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,987 | +$375 +6.3% | 2 |
| 462d |  manwithahat10 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $17,462 | +$6,726 +39% | 4 |
| 462d | Besiege26 fills | 118–119k | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $77,637 | −$29,706 −38% | — |
| 462d | maheenndr | 117–118k | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,602 | −$97 −6.0% | — |
| 462d | Besiege36 fills | 117–118k | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $69,021 | +$46,453 +67% | 5 |
| 462d | Besiege36 fills | 118–119k | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $84,687 | +$24,619 +29% | 4 |
| 462d | VinnyViral3 fills | 117–118k | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $5,829 | −$1,039 −18% | — |
| 462d | Besiege33 fills | 117–118k | SellYes52¢ → 100¢ | $59,909 | −$56,220 −94% | — |
| 462d | alexanches | 116–117k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,014 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 462d | manwithahat5 fills | 117–118k | BuyNo61¢ → 0¢ | $8,502 | −$8,502 −100% | 3 |
| 462d | manwithahat5 fills | 118–119k | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $11,619 | +$3,490 +30% | 2 |
| 462d | rwo | >119k | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,928 | +$32 +0.4% | 2 |
| 462d | Besiege14 fills | >119k | SellNo61¢ → 100¢ | $33,316 | −$21,503 −65% | — |
| 462d |  aleksandmoney | 117–118k | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,557 | +$135 +8.7% | 3 |
| 462d | sohrab | 117–118k | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $1,393 | −$310 −22% | — |
| 462d |  Debosnys | >119k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,280 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 462d | rwo | <116k | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,343 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 462d |  HaileyWelch | 117–118k | SellYes67¢ → 100¢ | $2,271 | −$1,118 −49% | — |
| 462d | HaileyWelch3 fills | 117–118k | BuyNo47¢ → 0¢ | $3,896 | −$3,896 −100% | 5 |
| 462d | Besiege16 fills | 118–119k | SellYes38¢ → 0¢ | $22,799 | +$22,799 +100% | — |
| 462d | Besiege13 fills | 118–119k | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $22,268 | −$22,268 −100% | 9 |
| 462d | Besiege19 fills | 117–118k | SellNo65¢ → 0¢ | $39,577 | +$39,577 +100% | — |
| 462d | Besiege24 fills | 117–118k | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $52,864 | −$52,864 −100% | 4 |
| 462d | arcisdead | >119k | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | −$300 −11% | — |
| 462d | HaileyWelch6 fills | 118–119k | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $11,910 | +$8,231 +69% | 3 |
| 462d | HaileyWelch2 fills | >119k | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $9,250 | −$750 −8.1% | — |
| 462d | HaileyWelch | 117–118k | SellNo76¢ → 0¢ | $2,274 | +$2,274 +100% | — |
| 462d | TheSpider | 118–119k | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $8,454 | +$8,454 +100% | — |
| 462d | affs20791 | 116–117k | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,406 | −$94 −6.7% | — |
| 462d | precision3 fills | >119k | SellNo67¢ → 100¢ | $8,639 | −$4,312 −50% | — |
| 462d | manwithahat | 116–117k | BuyNo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,632 | +$368 +23% | 4 |
| 462d | HaileyWelch | 118–119k | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | −$747 −33% | — |
| 462d | Besiege22 fills | >119k | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $52,353 | +$35,876 +69% | 5 |
| 462d | Besiege10 fills | >119k | SellYes50¢ → 0¢ | $21,973 | +$21,973 +100% | — |
| 462d | Besiege18 fills | >119k | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $33,386 | −$33,386 −100% | 5 |
| 462d | precision | 118–119k | SellNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | −$642 −47% | — |
| 462d | manwithahat | >119k | BuyNo58¢ → 100¢ | $2,088 | +$1,512 +72% | 5 |
| 462d | precision4 fills | 118–119k | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $5,505 | +$2,302 +42% | 4 |
| 462d |  Warsh-Nightmare | <116k | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,337 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 462d | manwithahat3 fills | >119k | BuyYes68¢ → 0¢ | $8,669 | −$8,669 −100% | 3 |
| 462d | affs20791 | 116–117k | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $7,237 | +$213 +2.9% | 2 |
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 117–118k means the market gives it about 100%.
