tf2

Polymarket wallet 0xa102b434ce441a3119e146f75ed6276ee1a836d9 · on Polymarket since Sep 27, 2023 · also shown as Drafty-Native

Open on Polymarket ↗

betmonke betmoar-25807

Positions now worth: $241K
All-time profit: +$113K
Volume traded: $24.4M
All-time rank: #1,710
Markets traded: 449
Recent hit rate: 50%25 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $241K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	No	230,500	50¢ → 79¢	$183,132	+$67,839 +59%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	230,000	50¢ → 21¢	$47,265	−$67,735 −59%
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 36d	Yes	8,824	81¢ → 63¢	$5,515	−$1,604 −23%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	1,498	97¢ → 97¢	$1,458	+$5 +0.4%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?Ends in 69d	No	1,452	97¢ → 96¢	$1,395	−$18 −1.3%
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?Ends in 73d	No	1,424	97¢ → 97¢	$1,375	−$5 −0.4%
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?Ends in 69d	No	400	95¢ → 97¢	$388	+$9 +2.3%
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 69d	No	101	86¢ → 96¢	$97	+$10 +12%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	No	2	74¢ → 91¢	$2	+$0 +22%
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?Ends in 69d	Yes	25	5¢ → 4¢	$1	−$0 −9.2%
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	No	1	99¢ → >99¢	$1	+$0 +0.5%
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 69d	Yes	10	40¢ → 8¢	$1	−$3 −80%
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 44¢	$0	+$0 +5559%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	50¢ → 13¢	$0	−$1 −75%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 10¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 9¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 15¢	$0	+$0 +1860%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 4¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +315%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 3¢	$0	+$0 +283%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +213%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +149%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 2¢	$0	+$0 +129%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +78%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 745d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 1¢	$0	+$0 +1.3%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → 1¢	$0	−$0 −29%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −49%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −55%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −55%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −55%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −55%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −55%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −55%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −68%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −68%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −68%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −68%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −68%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 745d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −81%
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −87%
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −87%
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d	Yes	2	0¢ → <1¢	$0	+$0 +0.0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −94%
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d	Yes	1	1¢ → <1¢	$0	−$0 −94%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
7d	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BuyNo96¢	$96
10d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	SellNo93¢	$9
10d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyNo94¢	$10
21d	Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $140B by December 31?	BuyNo97¢	$1,379
21d	Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?	BuyNo97¢	$1,413
21d	Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by December 31?	BuyNo97¢	$1,453
24d	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	BuyYes81¢	$7,174
55d	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SellNo75¢	$7
59d	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$85
60d	Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	BuyNo99¢	$1,981
60d	Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	BuyNo99¢	$1,981
60d	Will Shedeur Sanders be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	BuyNo99¢	$1,981
60d	Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?	BuyYes99¢	$1,981
62d	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BuyNo78¢	$78
66d	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	BuyDown84¢	$85
70d	KÍ vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5 AND Will KÍ win on 2026-08-13?	Buy20¢	$1
79d	TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Score AND TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5 AND Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-01?	Buy37¢	$100
79d	TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Score AND TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5 AND Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-01?	Buy37¢	$100
79d	TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Score AND TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5 AND Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-01?	Buy37¢	$100
79d	TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: Both Teams to Score AND TSG Hoffenheim vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 3.5 AND Will TSG Hoffenheim win on 2026-08-01?	Buy37¢	$100
84d	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BuyYes5¢	$1
105d	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BuyNo80¢	$64
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$72,479
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$19,980
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$5
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$9
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$999
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$1,099
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$9,990
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SellYes32¢	$1,149
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$999
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$21
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$999
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$30
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$20
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$30
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$93,140
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$1
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$344
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$35
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$15
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$4
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$0
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$47
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$96
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$3
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$13
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$151
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$10
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$1
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$3
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$172
106d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyYes32¢	$278
106d	Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?	BuyYes>99¢	$5,126
113d	Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?	BuyYes82¢	$8
116d	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BuyNo94¢	$285
119d	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BuyYes20¢	$4
121d	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BuyNo81¢	$8
123d	Will France win on 2026-06-22? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Buy76¢	$1
123d	Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: France (-1.5) AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Buy44¢	$1

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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