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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 69d | honk75 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$9 +0.9% | 2 |
| 69d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04528 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp71¢ → 100¢ | $26,200 | +$10,809 +41% | 4 |
| 69d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $11,572 | −$11,572 −100% | 7 |
| 69d | phineasambrose2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellUp56¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | −$2,075 −77% | — |
| 69d | Zzzz87 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$771 +70% | 5 |
| 69d | 0x2bde…ecba | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$423 +28% | 3 |
| 69d |  coinman25 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $11,046 | +$7,826 +71% | 4 |
| 69d | coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 4 |
| 69d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,311 | −$2,311 −100% | 4 |
| 70d | T-03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | SellDown36¢ → 0¢ | $1,438 | +$1,438 +100% | — |
| 70d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$612 +59% | 4 |
| 70d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $6,807 | −$6,807 −100% | 6 |
| 70d | phineasambrose | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $1,721 | +$1,526 +89% | 3 |
trulyalya11,473 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.