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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d |  trulyalya1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,486 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04527 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $20,449 | +$13,835 +68% | 4 |
| 64d | zanderhall | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $2,150 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 64d | Noteagle | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp>99¢ | $4,300 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 64d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,731 | −$46 −0.8% | — |
| 64d | Educated-Shoat | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $6,960 | +$56 +0.8% | 2 |
| 64d | anon.1980.123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,101 | +$53 +1.0% | 2 |
| 64d | hk04as048 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $23,500 | +$1,786 +7.6% | 2 |
| 64d | konsomida | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyDown17¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | −$1,257 −100% | 5 |
| 64d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $8,008 | +$7,380 +92% | 4 |
| 64d |  win-ok | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyUp34¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$2,001 +191% | 4 |
| 64d | win-ok | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | SellDown72¢ → 0¢ | $1,344 | +$1,344 +100% | — |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $11,498 | −$11,498 −100% | 4 |
| 64d | easyclap4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyDown61¢ → 0¢ | $20,090 | −$20,090 −100% | 4 |
| 64d | Vague-Mass | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $5,511 | −$5,511 −100% | 5 |
| 64d | win-ok | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $1,632 | −$1,632 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 19 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 20 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.