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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 252d | nonkenny90 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,268 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 252d | Gingerale1809 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,114 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 252d | madkkee | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $5,201 | −$79 −1.5% | — |
| 252d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $3,411 | +$34 +1.0% | 2 |
| 252d | Calculating-Yam | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | +$76 +7.5% | 3 |
| 252d | redvinny | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | +$163 +7.5% | 3 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $13,000 | +$1,397 +11% | 3 | |
| 252d | easypredict2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $12,750 | +$2,250 +18% | 3 |
| 252d | drde | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyDown13¢ → 0¢ | $1,114 | −$1,114 −100% | 5 |
| 252d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$527 +24% | 3 |
| 252d | gogchmnglyiyi | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | −$1,103 −100% | 4 |
| 252d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $1,235 | −$542 −44% | — | |
| 252d | LoHr97 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyDown29¢ → 0¢ | $3,198 | −$3,198 −100% | 9 |
| 253d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 253d | new-luck2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$2,294 +102% | 4 |
| 253d | 0x1461cC6e | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,638 | −$3,638 −100% | 4 |
| 253d | cveeaz | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | BuyUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,000 +100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.