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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | ascetic0x4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $24,940 | +$131 +0.5% | 2 |
| 262d | Haadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 262d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | SellDown>99¢ | $4,490 | −$18 −0.4% | — |
| 262d | 0x1461cC6e6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown83¢ → 100¢ | $13,808 | +$2,797 +20% | 3 |
| 262d | Revolving-Popcorn | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,185 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 262d | GaleMartin12 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $15,442 | +$1,915 +12% | 3 |
| 262d | exceeding7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown84¢ → 100¢ | $11,630 | +$2,189 +19% | 3 |
| 262d | 5f5a6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | SellDown92¢ → 100¢ | $9,579 | −$856 −8.9% | — |
| 262d | 0x1461cC6e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp34¢ → 0¢ | $3,633 | −$3,633 −100% | 8 |
| 262d | Repulsive-MacroNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $2,025 | +$129 +6.4% | 3 |
| 262d | Alpygood | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp12¢ → 0¢ | $1,983 | +$1,983 +100% | — |
| 262d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp28¢ → 0¢ | $1,077 | +$1,077 +100% | — |
| 263d | Mikee12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp56¢ → 0¢ | $6,784 | −$6,784 −100% | 4 |
| 263d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | +$956 +94% | 4 |
| 263d | Bruised-Tea2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | SellDown57¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | −$1,775 −76% | — |
| 263d | Bruised-Tea | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown56¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$1,028 +77% | 4 |
| 263d | Bruised-Tea | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | SellUp41¢ → 0¢ | $1,331 | +$1,331 +100% | — |
| 263d | Bruised-Tea | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp36¢ → 0¢ | $1,191 | −$1,191 −100% | 4 |
| 263d | jxckkk | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyUp58¢ → 0¢ | $1,444 | −$1,444 −100% | 4 |
yumaoer32,001 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Feb 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Feb 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Feb 3 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.