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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +104% |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 263d | US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | BuyNo10¢ | $1 |
| 263d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 263d | Bitcoin Up or Down on February 3? | BuyDown49¢ | $1 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | SellNo34¢ | $1 |
| 271d | US government shutdown Saturday? | SellNo22¢ | $1 |
| 271d | US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | BuyNo35¢ | $1 |
| 271d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo23¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SellNo71¢ | $1 |
| 271d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyNo72¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.