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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 285d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,132 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | DragonExplorer | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $9,256 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | uucnm4 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Gforce101 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  ont944 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $8,111 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Pra333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,068 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | Bitcoin112 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp54¢ → 100¢ | $4,086 | −$3,437 −84% | — |
| 285d | lunlimk | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,636 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 285d | 0xc265…d5ab | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,111 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 285d |  noreasapa | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp>99¢ | $11,430 | +$23 +0.2% | 2 |
| 285d | lunlimk | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,611 | +$26 +1.6% | 2 |
| 285d | 0xdhhfc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $2,030 | +$232 +11% | 3 |
| 285d | ont9443 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $5,118 | +$1,159 +23% | 4 |
| 285d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966118 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $31,785 | +$10,835 +34% | 4 |
| 285d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896615 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyDown43¢ → 0¢ | $7,771 | −$7,771 −100% | 7 |
| 285d | Pra333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $1,492 | +$551 +37% | 4 |
| 285d | bgsf3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$1,125 +82% | 4 |
| 285d | lgtnb9 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellDown46¢ → 0¢ | $1,380 | +$1,380 +100% | — |
| 285d | xxgxxg2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyDown47¢ → 0¢ | $2,328 | −$2,328 −100% | 4 |
| 285d | A1d293 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $254,489 | −$254K −100% | 4 |
| 286d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | +$2,923 +96% | 4 |
| 286d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 4 |
| 286d | uucnm4 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | +$2,178 +89% | 4 |
| 286d |  fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellDown47¢ → 0¢ | $1,562 | +$1,562 +100% | — |
| 286d | fdhgfvdrgfefcefvvcfvfvfrvrfgrfgvrfvvvgv | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | BuyDown49¢ → 0¢ | $1,662 | −$1,662 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.