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Polymarket wallet 0x84a36f17a28cce2dced1ada959e96dac82857e94 · on Polymarket since Dec 31, 2025 · also shown as Inferior-Republic
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $182 | +$12 +7.1% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,100 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,643 −100% |
| Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,500 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,395 −100% |
| DAX (DAX) Up or Down on January 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 4,500 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$225 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 130d | Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo85¢ | $170 |
| 234d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | SellYes63¢ | $49 |
| 235d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $1 |
| 235d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $5 |
| 235d | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BuyYes65¢ | $44 |
| 241d | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 24? | BuyNo99¢ | $59 |
| 260d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp53¢ | $1,590 |
| 260d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5? | BuyUp53¢ | $53 |
| 271d | Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? | BuyYes31¢ | $1,240 |
| 271d | Internet access restored in Iran by Friday? | BuyYes31¢ | $155 |
| 274d | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on January 22? | BuyDown5¢ | $225 |
| 285d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 11? | SellDown46¢ | $1,380 |
| 296d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 31? | BuyYes>99¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.