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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 279d | Damp-Location | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $3,128 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  abellll | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,111 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d |  godofus | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,100 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 279d | iamgone3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $4,150 | +$1,036 +25% | 3 |
| 279d | Terrible-Playground | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,300 | +$5 +0.4% | 2 |
| 279d | NoMoney2555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $4,798 | +$24 +0.5% | 2 |
| 279d |  Donateplease | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $5,965 | +$63 +1.1% | 2 |
| 280d | trader-minato | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyUp7¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 5 |
| 280d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | SellDown93¢ → 100¢ | $6,318 | −$474 −7.5% | — |
| 280d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | SellDown92¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | −$97 −8.7% | — |
| 280d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown76¢ → 100¢ | $11,573 | +$3,653 +32% | 4 |
| 280d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896612 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $4,069 | +$989 +24% | 3 |
| 280d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown80¢ → 100¢ | $1,600 | +$400 +25% | 3 |
| 280d | 0x6cd1…62a1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $2,111 | −$2,111 −100% | 8 |
| 280d | kederrac | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyUp22¢ → 0¢ | $1,168 | −$1,168 −100% | 5 |
| 280d | kingofcoinflips | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $2,508 | −$2,508 −100% | 4 |
| 280d | Bitcoin11 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown55¢ → 100¢ | $3,756 | +$3,075 +82% | 4 |
| 281d | lajsc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $2,100 | −$2,100 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 15 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 16 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.