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Polymarket wallet 0x45da8e0f39f70b3e0e0583f6f3e3a928e71451d0 · on Polymarket since Jul 17, 2025 · also shown as Rigid-Generator
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 140 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 860 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 7,146 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,820 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,015 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 4,086 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,000 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 272d | US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $17 |
| 277d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 20? | BuyUp24¢ | $1,000 |
| 279d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BuyDown7¢ | $60 |
| 280d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16? | BuyDown27¢ | $16 |
| 280d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 16? | BuyUp14¢ | $1,000 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | BuyYes36¢ | $1,015 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.