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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +30 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | 0x319f…4284 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,486 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 268d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,358 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 268d | djaywc | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp>99¢ | $11,359 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 268d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,915 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 268d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,185 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 268d | exceeding5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $7,768 | +$1,201 +15% | 3 |
| 268d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b8966116 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $26,654 | +$8,094 +30% | 4 |
| 268d | easyclap | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp83¢ → 100¢ | $4,150 | +$850 +20% | 3 |
| 268d | GaleMartin2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp77¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$630 +29% | 4 |
| 268d |  JaylenBrownRightHand | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellDown27¢ → 0¢ | $1,302 | +$1,302 +100% | — |
| 269d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896613 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown53¢ → 0¢ | $3,734 | −$3,734 −100% | 4 |
| 269d |  FollowTheLead | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $1,019 | −$1,019 −100% | 5 |
| 269d | 0x319f…4284 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$488 +24% | 4 |
| 269d | djaywc2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp63¢ → 100¢ | $6,151 | +$3,616 +59% | 4 |
| 269d |  0x7777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp63¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | −$612 −59% | — |
| 269d | easyclap3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $6,818 | −$6,818 −100% | 13 |
| 269d | 0x7777 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 3 |
| 269d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,716 | +$1,226 +33% | 4 |
| 269d | 5f5a2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $2,724 | −$601 −22% | — |
| 269d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,032 | −$269 −26% | — |
| 269d | JaylenBrownRightHand | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $1,517 | −$1,517 −100% | 5 |
| 269d | Kindly-IgnoranceNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $3,416 | +$2,248 +66% | 4 |
| 269d | New-Day | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | SellUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,422 | −$798 −56% | — |
| 269d | IwillRichSoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown36¢ → 0¢ | $1,729 | −$1,729 −100% | 5 |
| 269d | claudecoder34 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $1,225 | +$1,008 +82% | 4 |
| 269d | tom33y | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown59¢ → 0¢ | $6,001 | −$6,001 −100% | 4 |
| 270d | vvzev | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $2,050 | −$2,050 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 26 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 27 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.