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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7,444 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 55,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$55 −100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of January?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo<1¢ | $6 |
| 269d | Ethereum Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown<1¢ | $2 |
| 269d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 269d | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of January? | BuyNo23¢ | $9 |
| 269d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 27? | BuyDown<1¢ | $1 |
| 269d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 27? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 269d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 269d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo92¢ | $131 |
| 269d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo1¢ | $2 |
| 270d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo<1¢ | $40 |
| 271d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo33¢ | $22 |
| 271d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo<1¢ | $15 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SellNo75¢ | $38 |
| 285d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo61¢ | $31 |
| 287d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo70¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.