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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | Repulsive-MacroNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,584 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 266d | NoMoney2555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown>99¢ | $2,901 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 266d | 0x01542a212c9696da5b409cae879143b896614 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $12,765 | +$4,865 +38% | 4 |
| 266d | 5f5a3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $4,533 | +$210 +4.6% | 2 |
| 266d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | SellDown96¢ → 100¢ | $6,842 | −$265 −3.9% | — |
| 266d | 5f5a6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $9,122 | −$527 −5.8% | — |
| 266d | Repulsive-MacroNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown95¢ → 100¢ | $1,507 | +$79 +5.3% | 3 |
| 266d | Ready-Duckling2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown96¢ → 100¢ | $21,965 | +$809 +3.7% | 2 |
| 266d | Ready-Duckling | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | SellDown91¢ → 100¢ | $17,807 | −$1,740 −9.8% | — |
| 266d | exceeding18 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $27,488 | +$7,668 +28% | 3 |
| 266d | IwillRichSoon | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown88¢ → 100¢ | $1,407 | +$192 +14% | 3 |
| 266d | oookiere2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown66¢ → 100¢ | $3,037 | +$1,541 +51% | 4 |
| 266d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp32¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 266d | limit19 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp25¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 266d | ascetic0x3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp34¢ → 0¢ | $6,955 | −$6,955 −100% | 10 |
| 266d | j4un3 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp49¢ → 0¢ | $1,323 | −$1,323 −100% | 4 |
| 267d | Minor-Hardware | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp54¢ → 0¢ | $1,416 | −$1,416 −100% | 5 |
| 267d | carolinetaylor | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $3,073 | +$2,974 +97% | 4 |
| 267d | xberger2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $7,706 | +$7,404 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jan 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jan 29 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jan 30 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.