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Polymarket wallet 0xfe8a25fa06e17c9effcf7716410b2423315c76e4 · on Polymarket since Jun 30, 2025 · also shown as Rigid-Verdict
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 82 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 329 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 575 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 3,400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BuyUp60¢ | $2 |
| 246d | Raptors vs. Bulls | SellBulls16¢ | $2 |
| 246d | Raptors vs. Bulls | BuyBulls26¢ | $4 |
| 246d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 19? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 247d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BuyDown49¢ | $19 |
| 265d | Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 265d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | SellYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 266d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 266d | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp<1¢ | $3 |
| 266d | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $235 on January 30? | BuyNo3¢ | $9 |
| 266d | Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 30? | BuyUp<1¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.