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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 468d | alex4127 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,484 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 468d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,398 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 468d | jhz11224 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp92¢ → 100¢ | $27,336 | +$2,507 +9.2% | 3 |
| 468d | 0x82c6c1a53290fba0c7a18fc40d2c9206f03f2e5 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,983 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 468d | xbsuwrkfmdl372 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,979 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 468d | allin69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,398 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 468d |  LOL525 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,012 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 468d | Besiege3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $20,358 | −$4,642 −23% | — |
| 468d |  manwithahat3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp90¢ → 100¢ | $9,719 | +$1,102 +11% | 3 |
| 468d |  UwO4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $21,797 | +$1,057 +4.9% | 2 |
| 468d |  WinstonUchiha | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$391 +18% | 3 |
| 468d | brr6942017 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp73¢ → 100¢ | $43,950 | −$16,519 −38% | — |
| 468d | precision8 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp82¢ → 100¢ | $24,135 | +$5,267 +22% | 3 |
| 468d | brr6942018 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $48,704 | +$15,779 +32% | 4 |
| 468d | NouvelleVision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $4,274 | +$1,634 +38% | 4 |
| 468d | manwithahat2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown54¢ → 0¢ | $4,339 | −$4,339 −100% | 5 |
| 468d | Besiege5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp57¢ → 100¢ | $11,163 | +$8,447 +76% | 5 |
| 468d | NouvelleVision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $3,139 | −$3,139 −100% | 7 |
| 468d | brr6942027 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellDown39¢ → 0¢ | $42,405 | +$42,405 +100% | — |
| 468d | UwO | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp35¢ → 100¢ | $2,815 | −$5,198 −185% | — |
| 468d |  coinman25 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $14,072 | +$5,219 +37% | 4 |
| 468d | brr6942021 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown35¢ → 0¢ | $31,097 | −$31,097 −100% | 14 |
| 468d | Besiege3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $6,742 | −$6,742 −100% | 5 |
| 468d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $3,668 | −$3,668 −100% | 5 |
| 468d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $2,003 | −$497 −25% | — |
| 468d |  VinnyViral | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $3,509 | +$483 +14% | 3 |
| 468d | precision5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $17,441 | −$4,157 −24% | — |
| 468d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,031 | +$82 +2.0% | 2 |
| 468d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $11,354 | −$688 −6.1% | — |
| 468d | FlowMo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $7,534 | +$521 +6.9% | 3 |
| 468d | Malangk | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $1,809 | −$201 −11% | — |
| 468d |  Miffffy | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $11,341 | −$3,322 −29% | — |
| 468d | coinman23 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp92¢ → 100¢ | $10,655 | −$916 −8.6% | — |
| 468d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,135 | +$23 +2.0% | 2 |
| 468d |  NLTH20190904 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp91¢ → 100¢ | $4,020 | −$398 −9.9% | — |
| 468d |  JaidenAnimations | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | +$210 +7.5% | 2 |
| 468d | Ziigmund | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | −$179 −16% | — |
| 468d | NLTH20190904 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp87¢ → 100¢ | $3,840 | +$577 +15% | 3 |
| 468d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $3,668 | −$1,234 −34% | — |
| 468d | coinman22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown33¢ → 0¢ | $3,743 | −$3,743 −100% | 8 |
| 468d |  Bakiboy | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,802 | −$1,802 −100% | 5 |
| 469d | phoku2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown58¢ → 0¢ | $5,899 | −$5,899 −100% | 4 |
| 469d | EthanX | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $4,029 | −$4,029 −100% | 3 |
| 469d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 12? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,922 +96% | 3 |
Martiini1,884 shares
BlackJosun654 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 11 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 12 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 11 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 12 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.