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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 466d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 466d | Passionate-Left | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,110 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 466d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,940 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 466d | Michael43962 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp67¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | −$1,811 −49% | — |
| 466d | rwo4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $38,917 | +$87 +0.2% | 2 |
| 466d | Malangk | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,579 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 466d | rwo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | −$28 −0.6% | — |
| 466d |  UwO | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp>99¢ | $31,736 | +$132 +0.4% | 2 |
| 466d | FlowMo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,807 | −$47 −1.0% | — |
| 466d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | +$10 +0.7% | 2 |
| 466d | Wet-Sign | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,182 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 466d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $5,843 | −$157 −2.7% | — |
| 466d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,903 | +$41 +2.2% | 2 |
| 466d | keborgan | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$37 +1.8% | 2 |
| 466d | Zittex | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | +$51 +2.0% | 2 |
| 466d | jhz1122 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | −$30 −2.0% | — |
| 466d | sarethian | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,784 | −$57 −2.0% | — |
| 466d | xxxxx69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp97¢ → 100¢ | $8,364 | −$261 −3.1% | — |
| 466d | sarethian | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$31 +1.2% | 2 |
| 466d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | −$90 −1.8% | — |
| 466d |  0x2jsdkvfhjaklsdfnkjwebnksdnwerewe | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $2,558 | −$60 −2.4% | — |
| 466d | rdwyegb2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp80¢ → 100¢ | $6,564 | −$1,685 −26% | — |
| 466d | poerche | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp95¢ → 100¢ | $1,668 | −$86 −5.2% | — |
| 466d | brr694206 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $16,245 | −$1,810 −11% | — |
| 466d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $8,008 | +$2,323 +29% | 3 |
| 466d | brr694205 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $13,650 | +$2,261 +17% | 3 |
| 466d |  predictor555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp86¢ → 100¢ | $2,041 | −$332 −16% | — |
| 466d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $9,988 | +$1,953 +20% | 3 |
| 466d | rdwyegb | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp76¢ → 100¢ | $6,269 | +$1,980 +32% | 4 |
| 466d | brr694207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellDown38¢ → 0¢ | $11,928 | +$11,928 +100% | — |
| 466d |  yellowflash | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $1,616 | −$1,616 −100% | 6 |
| 466d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $6,949 | −$6,949 −100% | 6 |
| 466d | predictor555 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$973 +69% | 4 |
| 467d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $1,947 | +$1,053 +54% | 4 |
| 467d | NoSir | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,144 | −$1,144 −100% | 4 |
| 467d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellUp55¢ → 100¢ | $3,031 | −$2,480 −82% | — |
| 467d | Michael43962 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp56¢ → 100¢ | $3,083 | +$2,408 +78% | 4 |
| 467d | xxxxx69 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp58¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$3,625 +73% | 4 |
| 467d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | SellDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,277 | +$1,277 +100% | — |
| 467d | Michael4396 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown56¢ → 0¢ | $1,480 | −$1,480 −100% | 4 |
| 467d | sunnynotbunny | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,597 | −$1,597 −100% | 3 |
| 468d | 1kday | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp54¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,511 +84% | 3 |
| 468d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,427 | −$3,427 −100% | 3 |
| 468d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $3,570 | +$3,430 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 13 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 14 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 13 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 14 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.