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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 460d |  BICTORY | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 460d | Rin2x | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,029 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 460d | AZwater | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,850 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 460d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,559 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 460d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp100¢ | $4,975 | −$25 −0.5% | — |
| 460d | Besiege | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,383 | +$152 +6.4% | 3 |
| 460d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $2,258 | −$142 −6.3% | — |
| 460d |  Krasue5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $18,094 | +$3,570 +20% | 3 |
| 460d | precision10 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $31,621 | +$5,703 +18% | 3 |
| 460d | Krasue | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,196 | −$204 −6.4% | — |
| 460d | alexmilo2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp68¢ → 100¢ | $7,289 | −$3,499 −48% | — |
| 460d | Krasue2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $6,685 | −$6,685 −100% | 4 |
| 460d |  manwithahat4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown46¢ → 0¢ | $6,780 | −$6,780 −100% | 6 |
| 460d |  coinman26 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $12,559 | −$12,559 −100% | 9 |
| 460d | donfurax | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown65¢ → 0¢ | $4,187 | −$4,187 −100% | 5 |
| 460d | brr6942019 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp67¢ → 100¢ | $27,522 | −$13,466 −49% | — |
| 460d | coinman25 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp31¢ → 100¢ | $7,056 | +$15,541 +220% | 11 |
| 460d | coinman25 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellDown76¢ → 0¢ | $18,752 | +$18,752 +100% | — |
| 460d | precision16 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown66¢ → 0¢ | $37,601 | −$37,601 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellDown69¢ → 0¢ | $5,696 | +$5,696 +100% | — |
| 460d | Brundle2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellDown80¢ → 0¢ | $2,412 | +$2,412 +100% | — |
| 460d | Brundle | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown72¢ → 0¢ | $1,001 | −$1,001 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $14,732 | −$14,732 −100% | 4 |
| 460d | Cryptobruj | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellDown73¢ → 0¢ | $2,412 | +$2,412 +100% | — |
| 460d | brr6942023 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp59¢ → 100¢ | $37,145 | +$25,814 +69% | 4 |
| 460d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp44¢ → 100¢ | $6,403 | −$8,181 −128% | — |
| 460d |  eu.aris | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown55¢ → 0¢ | $1,559 | −$1,559 −100% | 5 |
| 460d | alexmilo | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$970 +97% | 5 |
| 460d | manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp47¢ → 100¢ | $1,363 | +$1,537 +113% | 5 |
| 460d | Brundle | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp69¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$541 −45% | — |
| 460d | Brundle | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp64¢ → 100¢ | $1,359 | +$764 +56% | 5 |
| 461d | EthanX2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp79¢ → 100¢ | $8,081 | −$2,145 −27% | — |
| 461d | EthanX | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp86¢ → 100¢ | $9,028 | +$1,470 +16% | 3 |
| 461d | MasonByte | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,145 | −$503 −23% | — |
| 461d | MagicalCompound | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $9,733 | −$2,283 −23% | — |
| 461d | MagicalCompound2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp72¢ → 100¢ | $6,917 | +$2,633 +38% | 4 |
| 461d | Cryptobruj2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown27¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 9 |
| 461d | MasonByte | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp60¢ → 100¢ | $1,589 | +$1,059 +67% | 4 |
| 461d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellDown54¢ → 0¢ | $8,100 | +$8,100 +100% | — |
| 461d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | SellUp50¢ → 100¢ | $2,206 | −$2,206 −100% | — |
| 461d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp45¢ → 100¢ | $1,985 | +$2,427 +122% | 5 |
| 462d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,525 | −$1,525 −100% | 3 |
| 462d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 19? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,607 | +$1,544 +96% | 3 |
Lostaccount12342,000 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 18 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 19 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 18 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 19 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.