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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 455d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,940 | −$6 −0.2% | — | |
| 455d | glarity | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown>99¢ | $13,508 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 455d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown>99¢ | $6,406 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 455d | 0x0705…d5bd | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,600 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 455d | brr6942013 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellDown85¢ → 100¢ | $17,329 | −$2,980 −17% | — |
| 455d | deeeadf | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$18 +1.7% | 2 |
| 455d | brr6942022 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $34,622 | +$7,933 +23% | 3 |
| 455d | precision2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellDown95¢ → 100¢ | $9,981 | −$477 −4.8% | — |
| 455d | precision15 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $39,213 | +$9,170 +23% | 3 |
| 455d | jdyljdyl | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$26 +2.0% | 2 |
| 455d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown94¢ → 100¢ | $5,436 | +$370 +6.8% | 2 |
| 455d | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $11,842 | +$4,599 +39% | 4 | |
| 455d | devilbanker | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellUp19¢ → 0¢ | $2,438 | +$2,438 +100% | — |
| 455d | devilbanker2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp33¢ → 0¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 8 |
| 455d | brr694203 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp33¢ → 0¢ | $3,891 | −$3,891 −100% | 8 |
| 456d | Mraka | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp39¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 5 |
| 456d | Jc46891 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellUp52¢ → 0¢ | $3,024 | +$3,024 +100% | — |
| 456d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $1,221 | −$1,221 −100% | 4 |
| 456d | lerco | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | +$1,020 +100% | — |
| 456d | Jc46891 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp48¢ → 0¢ | $2,800 | −$2,800 −100% | 4 |
| 456d | Hd2hvx01jdhvslxkcva | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | +$2,305 +100% | 3 |
| 457d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyDown50¢ → 100¢ | $4,400 | +$4,400 +100% | 3 |
| 457d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 25? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $4,590 | −$4,590 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 24 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 25 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 24 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 25 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.