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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 454d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 454d | Lamansh-763 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $8,200 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 454d |  Chanqua | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 454d |  brodiaga | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp>99¢ | $5,909 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 454d | brr6942010 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $21,795 | +$688 +3.2% | 2 |
| 454d | brr694207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | SellUp96¢ → 100¢ | $10,486 | −$430 −4.1% | — |
| 454d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $13,008 | +$165 +1.3% | 2 |
| 454d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $18,134 | +$220 +1.2% | 2 |
| 454d | EZZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,306 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 454d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,098 | +$22 +2.0% | 2 |
| 454d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,099 | +$26 +2.4% | 2 |
| 455d | precision | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp94¢ → 100¢ | $3,760 | +$240 +6.4% | 2 |
| 455d | brr694204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown39¢ → 0¢ | $4,866 | −$4,866 −100% | 7 |
| 455d | precision4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown51¢ → 0¢ | $7,100 | −$7,100 −100% | 4 |
| 455d |  manwithahat2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $2,874 | −$2,874 −100% | 4 |
| 455d | manwithahat | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp52¢ → 100¢ | $1,486 | +$1,372 +92% | 4 |
| 456d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,325 | −$1,325 −100% | 3 |
| 456d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,377 | +$1,323 +96% | 3 |
| 456d | evzero | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 26? | BuyUp51¢ → 100¢ | $1,564 | +$1,503 +96% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 25 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 26 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 25 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 26 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.