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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 475d |  WinstonUchiha | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,862 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $6,836 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 475d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 475d |  CoffeeLover | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,119 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 475d | Wet-Sign | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$7 +0.6% | 2 |
| 475d |  manwithahat6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $16,209 | +$207 +1.3% | 2 |
| 475d |  jaeh | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp3¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 5 |
| 475d | jhz11222 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $18,526 | +$445 +2.4% | 2 |
| 475d | Besiege2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $3,916 | +$84 +2.1% | 2 |
| 475d | Thin-Print2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown92¢ → 100¢ | $4,893 | +$433 +8.8% | 3 |
| 475d |  coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown88¢ → 100¢ | $4,309 | −$588 −14% | — |
| 475d | brr6942014 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown66¢ → 100¢ | $33,296 | −$17,521 −53% | — |
| 475d | runrunrunitup | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown89¢ → 100¢ | $2,738 | −$338 −12% | — |
| 475d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown90¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | −$150 −11% | — |
| 475d | brr6942012 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown61¢ → 100¢ | $20,098 | +$12,593 +63% | 4 |
| 475d | Mumen | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown72¢ → 100¢ | $2,162 | −$841 −39% | — |
| 475d | precision3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown73¢ → 100¢ | $7,062 | +$2,576 +36% | 4 |
| 476d | Pafuncio | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellUp36¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | +$1,800 +100% | — |
| 476d | runrunrunitup | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown65¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,077 +54% | 4 |
| 476d | brr694207 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellUp51¢ → 0¢ | $11,593 | +$11,593 +100% | — |
| 476d | CheeseCutter | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp37¢ → 0¢ | $1,274 | −$1,274 −100% | 5 |
| 476d | brr694209 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp47¢ → 0¢ | $15,890 | −$15,890 −100% | 5 |
| 476d | CryZ | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown77¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$833 +29% | 4 |
| 476d |  23g3g232g | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | SellDown68¢ → 100¢ | $2,448 | −$1,152 −47% | — |
| 476d | coinman24 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown58¢ → 100¢ | $6,789 | +$4,921 +72% | 4 |
| 476d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $1,079 | +$421 +39% | 4 |
| 476d | 23g3g232g | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $2,592 | +$1,008 +39% | 4 |
| 476d | WinstonUchiha | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown72¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | +$1,082 +39% | 4 |
| 476d | Pafuncio2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $6,345 | −$6,345 −100% | 4 |
| 476d |  50StackSteve | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown41¢ → 100¢ | $2,178 | +$3,134 +144% | 5 |
| 476d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp70¢ → 0¢ | $1,462 | −$1,462 −100% | 4 |
| 476d | coinman2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp62¢ → 0¢ | $1,897 | −$1,897 −100% | 4 |
| 476d | Aachau | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $2,126 | +$2,012 +95% | 4 |
| 477d | sww88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyDown51¢ → 100¢ | $3,055 | +$2,945 +96% | 3 |
| 477d | swoswo88 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 4? | BuyUp51¢ → 0¢ | $3,111 | −$3,111 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 4 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Jul '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 4 Jul '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.