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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | +$22 +1.0% | 2 |
| 220d | Deficient-Conga | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | SellUp98¢ → 100¢ | $1,526 | −$34 −2.2% | — |
| 220d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyUp97¢ → 100¢ | $8,997 | +$244 +2.7% | 2 |
| 220d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyUp95¢ → 100¢ | $3,618 | +$190 +5.3% | 3 |
| 220d | Incognitoo6 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $23,550 | +$1,856 +7.9% | 2 |
| 220d |  sportsgaza | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | SellDown18¢ → 0¢ | $1,702 | +$1,702 +100% | — |
| 220d | Attentive-Silica | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown30¢ → 0¢ | $2,056 | −$2,056 −100% | 8 |
| 220d | sportsgaza | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown20¢ → 0¢ | $1,973 | −$1,973 −100% | 8 |
| 220d | kingofcoinflips2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown24¢ → 0¢ | $4,028 | −$4,028 −100% | 11 |
| 220d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | SellDown23¢ → 0¢ | $2,238 | +$2,238 +100% | — |
| 220d | aian12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | SellUp81¢ → 100¢ | $2,177 | −$511 −23% | — |
| 220d | kingofcoinflips4 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyUp68¢ → 100¢ | $13,206 | +$6,140 +46% | 4 |
| 220d |  WallStreetKlller | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $976 | −$976 −100% | 4 |
| 220d | timeone | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown32¢ → 0¢ | $3,124 | −$3,124 −100% | 8 |
| 220d | Incognitoo3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | SellUp70¢ → 100¢ | $8,365 | −$3,561 −43% | — |
| 220d | sbcrr333 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | BuyDown25¢ → 0¢ | $1,188 | −$1,188 −100% | 5 |
| 220d | daozhu123 | Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | SellUp82¢ → 100¢ | $6,620 | −$1,476 −22% | — |
niightwolf603 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Mar 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Mar 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Mar 17 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.