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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 353d | lowrisk24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | UUG | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | Persolana | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,119 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | neilww2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,399 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | yuandufushu2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellDown>99¢ | $8,226 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 353d | Hashbrown | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $7,488 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 353d | Arsena | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown>99¢ | $1,094 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 353d | 02a923d2f6edbc894e76357104e654b27a0d9071e2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown61¢ → 100¢ | $2,938 | +$1,890 +64% | 4 |
| 353d | neilww22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $2,991 | +$39 +1.3% | 2 |
| 353d | Thin-Print | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown98¢ → 100¢ | $1,372 | +$28 +2.0% | 2 |
| 353d | brr69420 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellDown100¢ | $1,863 | −$9 −0.5% | — |
| 353d | OLOTH | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $1,403 | +$14 +1.0% | 2 |
| 353d | Wobbly-Epithelium2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown99¢ → 100¢ | $6,970 | +$98 +1.4% | 2 |
| 353d | kingofcoinflips3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown93¢ → 100¢ | $3,778 | +$288 +7.6% | 2 |
| 353d | yuandufushu | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyDown78¢ → 100¢ | $6,442 | +$1,796 +28% | 3 |
| 354d | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyUp50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 | |
| 354d | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | BuyUp52¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 4 | |
| 354d | amused85 | Bitcoin Up or Down on November 4? | SellUp47¢ → 0¢ | $1,410 | +$1,410 +100% | — |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Nov '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the 4 Nov '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 3 Nov '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the 4 Nov '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.