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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 381d |  stackinbit | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellUp>99¢ | $1,343 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 381d |  UwO | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $17,161 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 381d | 3872 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,352 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 381d |  kikomarkets | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,198 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 381d | 0xNesh | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,056 | +$9 +0.8% | 2 |
| 381d | lsf01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,002 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 381d | fdev25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $1,299 | +$13 +1.0% | 2 |
| 381d | on-two | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp99¢ → 100¢ | $4,470 | +$46 +1.0% | 2 |
| 381d | lowrisk243 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp96¢ → 100¢ | $13,565 | +$617 +4.6% | 2 |
| 381d | yuandufushu3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $10,900 | +$1,370 +13% | 3 |
| 381d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $3,540 | +$460 +13% | 3 |
| 381d | easypredict7 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp69¢ → 100¢ | $19,842 | +$8,900 +45% | 4 |
| 381d | loveIsReal | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $2,068 | +$282 +14% | 3 |
| 382d | 45Y45 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyDown29¢ → 0¢ | $2,078 | −$2,078 −100% | 7 |
| 382d | easypredict3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyDown28¢ → 0¢ | $3,843 | −$3,843 −100% | 10 |
| 382d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$337 −33% | — |
| 382d | imv | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,350 | −$450 −33% | — |
| 382d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellDown22¢ → 0¢ | $1,520 | +$1,520 +100% | — |
| 382d |  SappySeal67 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyDown40¢ → 0¢ | $1,253 | −$1,253 −100% | 4 |
| 382d | SappySeal67 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellDown23¢ → 0¢ | $1,680 | +$1,680 +100% | — |
| 382d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | SellUp47¢ → 100¢ | $2,790 | −$3,126 −112% | — |
| 382d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $1,696 | −$1,696 −100% | 3 |
| 383d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 3 |
| 383d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $4,272 | −$4,272 −100% | 4 |
samhain4ik7,996 shares
chandra10103,108 sharesThis market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 5 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 6 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 5 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 6 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.