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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 379d | lowrisk22 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $3,696 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 379d | DonaldMusk1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 379d | freeemoney | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp>99¢ | $2,463 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 379d | DonaldMusk1 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp>99¢ | $9,764 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 379d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp89¢ → 100¢ | $12,580 | −$1,620 −13% | — |
| 379d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp77¢ → 100¢ | $6,738 | −$2,057 −31% | — | |
| 379d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $21,182 | +$3,018 +14% | 3 |
| 379d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c205 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp73¢ → 100¢ | $10,594 | +$3,830 +36% | 4 |
| 379d | RandomRunner | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp90¢ → 100¢ | $11,137 | −$1,276 −11% | — |
| 379d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,863 | −$252 −14% | — | |
| 379d | affs207913 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp85¢ → 100¢ | $4,660 | +$840 +18% | 3 |
| 379d | affs207912 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp76¢ → 100¢ | $4,480 | −$1,438 −32% | — |
| 379d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp93¢ → 100¢ | $2,075 | +$156 +7.5% | 3 | |
| 379d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp65¢ → 100¢ | $2,851 | +$1,535 +54% | 5 | |
| 380d | easyclap5 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown45¢ → 0¢ | $10,013 | −$10,013 −100% | 6 |
| 380d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown50¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 5 | |
| 380d | 0x9066aa36696ef7ad9efbf35ea2b2b5535197c204 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown41¢ → 0¢ | $5,329 | −$5,329 −100% | 7 |
| 380d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellUp84¢ → 100¢ | $2,518 | −$480 −19% | — | |
| 380d | lowrisk2 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp89¢ → 100¢ | $4,005 | +$495 +12% | 3 |
| 380d | loveIsReal | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp88¢ → 100¢ | $1,496 | +$204 +14% | 3 |
| 380d | lowrisk242 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $11,995 | +$2,350 +20% | 3 |
| 380d | freeemoney | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp84¢ → 100¢ | $2,071 | +$394 +19% | 3 |
| 380d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp75¢ → 100¢ | $1,586 | +$529 +33% | 4 | |
| 380d | exceeding | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellDown59¢ → 0¢ | $2,584 | +$2,584 +100% | — |
| 380d | Each-BreadNew account | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown52¢ → 0¢ | $1,360 | −$1,360 −100% | 6 |
| 380d | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp42¢ → 100¢ | $1,259 | +$1,739 +138% | 4 | |
| 380d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellDown42¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — |
| 380d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | SellDown44¢ → 0¢ | $1,103 | +$1,103 +100% | — |
| 380d | affs20791 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown71¢ → 0¢ | $1,775 | −$1,775 −100% | 4 |
| 380d | exceeding3 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown61¢ → 0¢ | $5,408 | −$5,408 −100% | 4 |
| 381d | RandomRunner2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp55¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$5,170 +82% | 3 |
| 381d | 38dlkjas8z239hiureafjksndlj2803rhweojds | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $7,526 | +$6,674 +89% | 3 |
| 381d | iamgone | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 8? | BuyDown48¢ → 0¢ | $1,248 | −$1,248 −100% | 3 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 7 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 8 '25 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Oct 7 '25 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 8 '25 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.