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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | SellDown>99¢ | $5,588 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 52d | horsewhiskers | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | SellDown>99¢ | $1,600 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 52d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyDown89¢ → 100¢ | $4,143 | +$498 +12% | 3 |
| 52d | Gek5 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | SellDown86¢ → 100¢ | $1,594 | −$270 −17% | — |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyDown81¢ → 100¢ | $4,221 | +$961 +23% | 3 | |
| 52d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyUp34¢ → 0¢ | $6,697 | −$6,697 −100% | 10 | |
| 52d | Alabjack231 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyDown85¢ → 100¢ | $1,396 | +$248 +18% | 3 |
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyDown37¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$3,401 +170% | 6 | |
| 53d | gobblewobble2 fills | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyUp67¢ → 0¢ | $2,975 | −$2,975 −100% | 4 |
| 53d | Imperturbable-Hero | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyUp53¢ → 0¢ | $1,098 | −$1,098 −100% | 4 |
| 53d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1? | BuyDown52¢ → 100¢ | $2,888 | +$2,666 +92% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.