Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | SellUp>99¢ | $5,655 | −$6 −0.1% | — | |
| 31d | Cavernous-Agriculture | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyUp>99¢ | $1,283 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 31d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $2,514 | +$668 +27% | 4 |
| 31d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyDown36¢ → 0¢ | $1,085 | −$1,085 −100% | 5 |
| 32d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyDown38¢ → 0¢ | $2,142 | −$2,142 −100% | 6 | |
| 32d | gobblewobble | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyUp79¢ → 100¢ | $1,167 | +$313 +27% | 3 |
| 32d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyUp78¢ → 100¢ | $2,695 | +$760 +28% | 3 | |
| 32d | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22? | BuyUp53¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,661 +89% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Sep 21 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 22 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 100%.