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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen | 13% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 13% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 11¢ · 14¢ (3¢) | — | in 249d |
| VfB Stuttgart | 4% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 6¢ (3¢) | — | in 249d |
| FC Augsburg | 12% | +1 pts | — | 11¢ · 13¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 249d |
| 1. FC Köln | 30% | — | +1 pts | 29¢ · 30¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| SC Freiburg | 3% | — | — | <1¢ · 5¢ (5¢) | — | in 249d |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 37% | −13 pts | −5 pts | 36¢ · 37¢ (1¢) | $939 | in 249d |
| SV Elversberg | 20% | −1 pts | −5 pts | 19¢ · 20¢ (1¢) | — | in 249d |
| RB Leipzig | 2% | — | — | 1¢ · 3¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| Bayern Munich | 2% | — | — | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 249d |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 10% | — | +2 pts | 9¢ · 11¢ (2¢) | — | in 249d |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (4¢) | — | in 249d |
| Hamburger SV | 18% | +2 pts | −5 pts | 17¢ · 19¢ (2¢) | $262 | in 249d |
| SC Paderborn | 37% | −10 pts | −5 pts | 36¢ · 37¢ (1¢) | $220 | in 249d |
| FC Schalke 04 | 36% | −2 pts | +6 pts | 34¢ · 37¢ (3¢) | $49.9 | in 249d |
| Union Berlin | 33% | −3 pts | −10 pts | 32¢ · 34¢ (2¢) | $28 | in 249d |
| Mainz 05 | 9% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 16¢ (15¢) | — | in 249d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | Stonktrader | Hamburger SV | BuyNo80¢ → 82¢ | $2,154 | +$45 +2.1% | 17 |
| 10d | Stonktrader | SC Paderborn | BuyNo52¢ → 64¢ | $1,822 | +$401 +22% | 24 |
| 44d | chongchongpanda | Borussia Dortmund | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,044 | +$25 +2.4% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Bundesliga at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Bundesliga season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Bundesliga for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Bundesliga, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Bundesliga. If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Bundesliga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 13¢ for Werder Bremen means the market gives it about 13%.