| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 4,701 | 92¢ → 91¢ | $4,255 | −$48 −1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 42d | No | 4,940 | 61¢ → 56¢ | $2,766 | −$226 −7.5% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | No | 2,626 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $2,545 | −$19 −0.8% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Ends in 223d | No | 3,135 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $2,398 | −$100 −4.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?Ends in 9h | Yes | 2,292 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $2,278 | +$101 +4.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 28d | Yes | 2,908 | 72¢ → 72¢ | $2,080 | −$15 −0.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 73d | Yes | 4,108 | 57¢ → 51¢ | $2,075 | −$257 −11% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 2,975 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $1,993 | −$51 −2.5% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 41d | No | 3,118 | 67¢ → 62¢ | $1,933 | −$160 −7.6% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 182d | No | 3,652 | 56¢ → 52¢ | $1,904 | −$145 −7.1% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Ends in 7d | No | 3,146 | 64¢ → 60¢ | $1,872 | −$137 −6.8% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,966 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $1,854 | −$2 −0.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2,000 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $1,824 | −$32 −1.7% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 7d | No | 2,639 | 74¢ → 67¢ | $1,768 | −$193 −9.8% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,777 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,741 | −$3 −0.2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | No | 1,985 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $1,724 | −$48 −2.7% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | No | 1,802 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $1,619 | −$15 −0.9% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | No | 3,014 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $1,591 | +$12 +0.8% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,673 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $1,589 | −$4 −0.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | No | 1,990 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $1,562 | −$34 −2.1% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,660 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $1,561 | −$31 −1.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,700 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $1,488 | +$17 +1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1,475 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $1,409 | +$7 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,639 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $1,402 | +$34 +2.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | No | 1,694 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $1,387 | −$60 −4.1% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 1,531 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,386 | −$8 −0.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 1,531 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $1,386 | −$54 −3.7% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,400 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $1,378 | +$4 +0.3% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 52d | Yes | 1,748 | 82¢ → 79¢ | $1,372 | −$62 −4.3% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 2,000 | 86¢ → 69¢ | $1,370 | −$344 −20% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 1,246 | 97¢ → 95¢ | $1,185 | −$19 −1.6% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Ends in 223d | No | 2,914 | 52¢ → 40¢ | $1,166 | −$343 −23% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Ends in 439d | No | 1,498 | 82¢ → 78¢ | $1,161 | −$75 −6.1% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 41d | No | 1,739 | 80¢ → 65¢ | $1,138 | −$253 −18% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 1,510 | 81¢ → 75¢ | $1,134 | −$88 −7.2% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,500 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $1,133 | −$111 −8.9% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 805d | No | 1,379 | 83¢ → 82¢ | $1,124 | −$21 −1.8% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Ends in 7d | No | 1,453 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $1,112 | −$80 −6.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | No | 1,620 | 70¢ → 69¢ | $1,110 | −$24 −2.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,203 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,101 | −$6 −0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,833 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $1,091 | −$59 −5.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 1,548 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $1,076 | +$16 +1.5% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 439d | No | 1,180 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $1,076 | −$2 −0.2% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 7d | No | 1,677 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $1,048 | −$43 −3.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 1,218 | 83¢ → 86¢ | $1,041 | +$35 +3.5% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,105 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $1,027 | −$15 −1.5% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 41d | Yes | 1,551 | 77¢ → 66¢ | $1,024 | −$171 −14% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 439d | No | 1,268 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $1,018 | −$40 −3.8% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 1,172 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $1,009 | −$22 −2.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | No | 1,250 | 79¢ → 80¢ | $994 | +$12 +1.3% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?Ends in 4d | No | 1,059 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $968 | +$29 +3.1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | No | 1,114 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $954 | +$2 +0.2% |
| Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 977 | 98¢ → 97¢ | $947 | −$7 −0.8% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 9d | No | 1,884 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $937 | +$44 +5.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 1,344 | 74¢ → 70¢ | $934 | −$57 −5.8% |
| Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,185 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $889 | −$34 −3.6% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 921 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $888 | −$9 −1.0% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 439d | No | 996 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $872 | −$15 −1.7% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 931 | 95¢ → 93¢ | $869 | −$12 −1.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 862 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $814 | −$14 −1.7% |
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 41d | Yes | 1,291 | 66¢ → 63¢ | $807 | −$51 −5.9% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 1,177 | 72¢ → 68¢ | $805 | −$43 −5.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 751d | No | 2,193 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $800 | +$2 +0.3% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 255d | No | 855 | 94¢ → 93¢ | $790 | −$11 −1.4% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 1,200 | 67¢ → 66¢ | $788 | −$10 −1.3% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 2,000 | 41¢ → 39¢ | $783 | −$41 −5.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 28d | Yes | 1,287 | 59¢ → 59¢ | $753 | −$2 −0.3% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 371d | Yes | 1,538 | 48¢ → 49¢ | $746 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,152 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $743 | −$10 −1.3% |
| Will over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Ends in 75d | No | 791 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $727 | −$18 −2.4% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Ends in 16d | No | 787 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $722 | −$1 −0.1% |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 16d | No | 901 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $708 | −$19 −2.6% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 12d | Yes | 845 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $689 | +$13 +1.9% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 6d | Yes | 746 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $682 | +$4 +0.5% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 971 | 71¢ → 70¢ | $675 | −$15 −2.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 42d | No | 1,821 | 39¢ → 37¢ | $674 | −$44 −6.2% |
| Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 692 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $673 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 16d | No | 957 | 67¢ → 68¢ | $648 | +$10 +1.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 701 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $634 | +$4 +0.6% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 751d | Yes | 4,186 | 12¢ → 15¢ | $617 | +$95 +18% |
| Will Hayden Panettiere be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?Ends in 73d | No | 740 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $607 | −$26 −4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 663 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $607 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 843 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $603 | −$21 −3.4% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Ends in 7d | No | 897 | 70¢ → 67¢ | $601 | −$27 −4.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1,855 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $594 | −$19 −3.0% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Ends ended | Yes | 643 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $580 | +$3 +0.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 805d | No | 694 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $580 | +$3 +0.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 78d | Yes | 689 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $575 | −$28 −4.6% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 695 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $569 | −$27 −4.5% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 647 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $563 | −$6 −1.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?Ends in 35d | No | 1,187 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $558 | −$24 −4.1% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 16d | No | 879 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $550 | −$2 −0.4% |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 13d | No | 596 | 94¢ → 92¢ | $548 | −$13 −2.2% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 7d | No | 598 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $548 | −$2 −0.4% |
| Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Ends ended | Yes | 974 | 71¢ → 56¢ | $546 | −$150 −22% |
| Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 255d | No | 628 | 81¢ → 83¢ | $518 | +$9 +1.9% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1170d | No | 695 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $497 | −$23 −4.5% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 73d | No | 640 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $496 | −$35 −6.6% |
| Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 560 | 89¢ → 87¢ | $488 | −$10 −2.1% |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,107 | 53¢ → 44¢ | $487 | −$98 −17% |
