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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schiff wins | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Garvey by >4% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Garvey by 2-4% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| Garvey by 0-2% | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 924d |  aenews24 fills | Schiff wins | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,026 | +$188 +2.1% | 10 |
| 924d | aenews2 | Garvey by 0-2% | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 938d | lently(10) | Schiff wins | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$39 +2.9% | 10 |
| 939d | DumbMoney2.0 | Schiff wins | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,327 | −$54 −4.1% | — |
| 940d | 68D00B23d | Schiff wins | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,511 | +$78 +3.1% | 11 |
| 944d | sd00002 fills | Schiff wins | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $6,345 | −$890 −14% | — |
| 946d | ASOFE | Schiff wins | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | −$90 −6.4% | — |
| 946d | professorx2 fills | Garvey by 2-4% | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,827 | +$5 +0.1% | 10 |
| 946d | professorx | Garvey by >4% | BuyNo>99¢ | $55,944 | +$56 +0.1% | 10 |
| 947d |  ANudeEgg | Garvey by 2-4% | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,491 | −$9 −0.6% | — |
| 954d |  Marx.Carney | Schiff wins | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,144 | −$1,144 −100% | 10 |
| 955d |  ImJustKen | Schiff wins | BuyNo38¢ → 0¢ | $1,286 | −$1,286 −100% | 11 |
| 957d |  Tenable-Dome | Garvey by 0-2% | BuyYes69¢ → 0¢ | $1,548 | −$1,548 −100% | 10 |
| 957d |  New.Jeans | Garvey by 0-2% | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,659 | −$1,659 −100% | 10 |
| 958d | Tenable-Dome | Schiff wins | SellNo78¢ → 0¢ | $1,332 | +$1,332 +100% | — |
| 959d | sd0000 | Garvey by 0-2% | BuyNo59¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | +$701 +70% | 10 |
| 960d | ANudeEgg | Schiff wins | BuyNo86¢ → 0¢ | $2,150 | −$2,150 −100% | 10 |
| 960d | Tenable-Dome | Schiff wins | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $2,214 | −$2,214 −100% | 10 |
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Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Schiff wins means the market gives it about 100%.