Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Burnham | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 67d |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Wes Streeting | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Ed Miliband | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Angela Rayner | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| Al Carns | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 67d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102d | 0x8931…a90c2 fills | Al Carns | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,282 | +$7 +0.1% | 10 |
| 102d | 0x8931…a90c | Wes Streeting | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,326 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 102d |  zb8 | Andy Burnham | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,053 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 106d |  theta-thunberg2 fills | Al Carns | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,391 | +$78 +1.4% | 10 |
| 108d | theta-thunberg | Al Carns | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,374 | −$39 −2.8% | — |
| 123d |  knrad | Andy Burnham | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,811 | +$18 +1.0% | 10 |
| 124d | browne | Andy Burnham | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | +$31 +2.1% | 10 |
| 125d |  ydxistheking | Angela Rayner | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,063 | +$110 +10% | 10 |
| 126d | ydxistheking | Ed Miliband | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,950 | +$187 +9.6% | 10 |
| 127d | 0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86 | Keir Starmer | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,612 | +$730 +45% | 10 |
Lavincey152 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot. If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Andy Burnham means the market gives it about 100%.