| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 11,755 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $9,992 | +$835 +9.1% |
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 524d | No | 9,541 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $9,336 | −$25 −0.3% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 9,875 | 45¢ → 80¢ | $7,866 | +$3,406 +76% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 7,169 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $6,774 | +$876 +15% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 7,795 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $6,314 | +$252 +4.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 6,025 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $5,513 | +$352 +6.8% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 6,424 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $5,396 | −$81 −1.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 4,687 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $4,514 | +$86 +1.9% |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 4,852 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $4,124 | +$6 +0.2% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | No | 4,444 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $4,022 | −$22 −0.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | No | 4,696 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $3,731 | +$1,383 +59% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 4,035 | 74¢ → 78¢ | $3,127 | +$154 +5.2% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 11d | No | 3,161 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $2,924 | +$27 +0.9% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 3d | Yes | 3,160 | 86¢ → 67¢ | $2,101 | −$627 −23% |
| No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 2,107 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $2,057 | +$26 +1.3% |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 1,802 | 85¢ → 95¢ | $1,703 | +$170 +11% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 7,597 | 59¢ → 20¢ | $1,519 | −$2,968 −66% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 1,111 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $1,107 | +$4 +0.4% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 1,111 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $1,072 | +$49 +4.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 38d | No | 1,111 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $1,050 | +$6 +0.5% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4,696 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $965 | −$1,383 −59% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 1,111 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $850 | −$39 −4.4% |
| Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 250d | No | 1,638 | 37¢ → 41¢ | $671 | +$58 +9.4% |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 4,321 | 14¢ → 14¢ | $590 | +$2 +0.4% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,130 | 42¢ → 46¢ | $523 | +$52 +11% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 11,755 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $511 | +$308 +151% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 907 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $478 | −$21 −4.2% |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 500 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $440 | +$68 +18% |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 433 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $421 | +$67 +19% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 15, 2027?Ends in 84d | Yes | 884 | 44¢ → 46¢ | $407 | +$18 +4.5% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 7,120 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $370 | +$26 +7.7% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 816 | 50¢ → 44¢ | $361 | −$47 −12% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 473 | 68¢ → 74¢ | $347 | +$24 +7.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 425 | 68¢ → 82¢ | $346 | +$59 +21% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,983 | 19¢ → 17¢ | $327 | −$44 −12% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 319 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $285 | +$13 +4.9% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 1,671 | 31¢ → 14¢ | $242 | −$276 −53% |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 309 | 54¢ → 69¢ | $213 | +$46 +28% |
| Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 222 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $206 | +$5 +2.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,689 | 69¢ → 12¢ | $194 | −$976 −83% |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$12 +7.0% |
| Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 177d | No | 201 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 91¢ | $181 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 3,455 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $155 | −$52 −25% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 150 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $142 | +$14 +11% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 915 | 23¢ → 15¢ | $140 | −$67 −32% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 5,700 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $140 | −$42 −23% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?Ends in 100d | Yes | 186 | 59¢ → 61¢ | $113 | +$3 +2.5% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 661 | 12¢ → 16¢ | $104 | +$21 +25% |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,052 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $101 | +$76 +300% |
| Will voter turnout be between 62% and 64% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 110 | 82¢ → 91¢ | $100 | +$10 +11% |
| Will voter turnout be between 64% and 66% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | No | 111 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $99 | +$10 +11% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 4,050 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $87 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 80 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $78 | +$8 +11% |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 8,125 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $77 | −$109 −59% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 434d | Yes | 200 | 73¢ → 38¢ | $75 | −$71 −49% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,469 | 4¢ → 5¢ | $73 | +$15 +26% |
| Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 78 | 77¢ → 90¢ | $70 | +$10 +17% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 355 | 13¢ → 16¢ | $58 | +$11 +23% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 5,196 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $55 | +$18 +50% |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 8,222 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $53 | −$13 −20% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 57 | 79¢ → 93¢ | $53 | +$8 +17% |
| French election called by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 868 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $50 | −$32 −39% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,611 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $49 | +$7 +17% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,302 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $41 | −$6 −13% |
| Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?Ends in 69d | No | 39 | 69¢ → 95¢ | $37 | +$10 +38% |
| Will Grüne be in the next Berlin state government?Ends ended | No | 100 | 7¢ → 35¢ | $35 | +$28 +409% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,731 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $32 | +$5 +17% |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,119 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $27 | +$17 +169% |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,546 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $24 | −$160 −87% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 712 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $24 | +$6 +33% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,111 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $16 | −$7 −31% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 2,003 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $15 | −$20 −57% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 746d | Yes | 150 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $13 | −$3 −19% |
| Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 525d | Yes | 4,949 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $12 | −$7 −35% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 22,222 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$22 −67% |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 11,110 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$56 −83% |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 3,113 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $11 | −$0 −4.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 135 | 32¢ → 8¢ | $11 | −$33 −75% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?Ends in 11d | Yes | 11 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 1,158 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$2 −19% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 7d | Yes | 111 | 35¢ → 7¢ | $7 | −$32 −81% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 128 | 16¢ → 5¢ | $6 | −$15 −70% |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 12,310 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $6 | −$80 −93% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 1,111 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | −$5 −45% |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 400 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $6 | +$1 +21% |
| Will voter turnout be between 68% and 70% in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 20 | 9¢ → 25¢ | $5 | +$3 +185% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 876 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $5 | −$5 −53% |
| Abiy Ahmed out as Prime Minister of Ethiopia in 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 81¢ → 96¢ | $4 | +$1 +18% |
| Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?Ends in 176d | No | 3 | 63¢ → 74¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 3,333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$4 −71% |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 68d | Yes | 25 | 3¢ → 4¢ | $1 | +$0 +29% |
